With time running our before I go away for a few weeks, I only had time to run one sim for bjanalyst's KO system. I decided it would be best to run a sim of the system using all of his indices and also using his side count for betting. The rationale being that if it didn't beat HiOpt II + ASC, then the incremental sims would not be important and if it did, then this would be the sim that would show it. The sim is designated as KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b in the results below.
- As was done for the HiLo system, the sim is for 5/6 S17 DAS DOA SPL3 noLS. That way I could add the result to the previous table for comparison with the results for the other systems.
- bjanalyst posted his indices earlier in the thread. This sim used all of the indices except for surrender, since this game does not have surrender.
- bjanalyst let me know that these indices are intended to be RA indices. I don't know how much of a difference RA indices typically make for SCORE but this needed to be made clear since the indices for the other sims were EV maximizing.
- This sim also used his 5m7c count as a side count for betting. The betting count was KO + (1/2)x(5m7c).
Executive Summary
KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b does in fact have a higher SCORE than HiOpt II + ASC for the back-counting scenarios. It does not beat HiOpt II + ASC for the play-all scenarios, but comes closer than the HiLo system did.
Here are the updated results. I now return you to your regularly scheduled counting system debate.
Code:Scenario System Source SCORE Improvement ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Play-All 1-8 HiLo 1994 Gronbog 24.30 HiLo+AA78mTc 6 Gronbog 27.18 11.85% HiLo+AA78mTc 12 Gronbog 27.89 2.61% HiLo+AA78mTc 26 Gronbog 28.35 1.65% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c Gronbog 29.53 4.16% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c+b Gronbog 30.37 2.84% KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b Gronbog 32.94 8.46% HiOpt II + ASC Gronbog 34.49 4.71% Play-All 1-10 HiLo 1994 Gronbog 29.27 HiLo+AA78mTc 6 Gronbog 32.33 10.45% HiLo+AA78mTc 12 Gronbog 33.07 2.29% HiLo+AA78mTc 26 Gronbog 33.54 1.42% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c Gronbog 34.83 3.85% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c+b Gronbog 35.78 2.73% KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b Gronbog 38.89 8.69% HiOpt II + ASC Gronbog 40.03 2.93% Play-All 1-12 HiLo 1994 Gronbog 33.04 HiLo+AA78mTc 6 Gronbog 36.21 9.59% HiLo+AA78mTc 12 Gronbog 36.95 2.04% HiLo+AA78mTc 26 Gronbog 37.44 1.33% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c Gronbog 38.80 3.63% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c+b Gronbog 39.84 2.68% KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b Gronbog 43.35 8.81% HiOpt II + ASC Gronbog 44.19 10.92% Back-Count 1-1 HiLo 1994 Gronbog 46.86 HiLo+AA78mTc 6 Gronbog 49.64 5.93% HiLo+AA78mTc 12 Gronbog 50.03 0.79% HiLo+AA78mTc 26 Gronbog 50.43 0.80% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c Gronbog 51.67 2.46% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c+b Gronbog 52.95 2.48% HiOpt II + ASC Gronbog 55.70 5.19% KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b Gronbog 57.89 3.93% Back-Count 1-2 HiLo 1994 Gronbog 55.56 HiLo+AA78mTc 6 Gronbog 58.86 5.94% HiLo+AA78mTc 12 Gronbog 59.45 1.00% HiLo+AA78mTc 26 Gronbog 60.06 1.03% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c Gronbog 61.44 2.30% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c+b Gronbog 63.09 2.69% HiOpt II + ASC Gronbog 66.77 5.83% KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b Gronbog 68.45 2.52% Back-Count 1-4 HiLo 1994 Gronbog 61.24 HiLo+AA78mTc 6 Gronbog 64.49 5.31% HiLo+AA78mTc 12 Gronbog 65.01 0.81% HiLo+AA78mTc 26 Gronbog 65.60 0.91% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c Gronbog 66.98 2.10% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c+b Gronbog 68.46 2.21% HiOpt II + ASC Gronbog 72.31 5.62% KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b Gronbog 74.88 3.55% Back-Count 1-8 HiLo 1994 Gronbog 62.91 HiLo+AA78mTc 6 Gronbog 65.96 4.85% HiLo+AA78mTc 12 Gronbog 66.43 0.71% HiLo+AA78mTc 26 Gronbog 67.00 0.86% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c Gronbog 68.32 1.97% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c+b Gronbog 70.08 2.58% HiOpt II + ASC Gronbog 74.35 6.09% KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b Gronbog 76.60 3.03% Back-Count 1-12 HiLo 1994 Gronbog 63.23 HiLo+AA78mTc 6 Gronbog 66.48 5.14% HiLo+AA78mTc 12 Gronbog 67.05 0.86% HiLo+AA78mTc 26 Gronbog 67.68 0.94% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c Gronbog 69.11 2.11% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c+b Gronbog 70.92 2.62% HiOpt II + ASC Gronbog 75.05 5.82% KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b Gronbog 77.37 3.09% Unrestricted HiLo 1994 Gronbog 63.87 HiLo+AA78mTc 6 Gronbog 67.01 4.92% HiLo+AA78mTc 12 Gronbog 67.55 0.81% HiLo+AA78mTc 26 Gronbog 68.16 0.90% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c Gronbog 69.54 2.02% HiLo+AA78mTc+5m6c+b Gronbog 71.27 2.49% HiOpt II + ASC Gronbog 75.22 5.54% KO+5m7c+AA89mTc+b Gronbog 77.95 3.63%
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