My prediction was that Norm's suit recognized level one count will not even beat that HL based on my CC method.
I guess my CC method correctly predicting 20 sim results without a single failure is not enough for you. You want me to prove it a 21st time.
So I have a challenge for you!
PROVE that I am incorrect by running sims and then I will apologize.
But as I said, if you do decide to run sims, let me know as I based on conclusion just on the betting CC of Norm's count.
If you decide to runs sims I will also calculate playing strategy CC and give my final prediction of sim results of Norm's counts before you run your sims. Then we will see who really needs to apologize, me or you
Last edited by bjanalyst; 10-19-2020 at 06:24 PM.
You apparently have trouble reading. I said prove I am wrong with sims and I will apologize. And if I am proven correct as I have for 20 times straight, then you need to apologize.
Unfortunately, from what I read in previous posts, none of the canned sim programs available let's you do suit recognized counts.
So that means the only person who is qualified to do sims on Norm's B2R7 (black 2 red 7) count is Gronbog who I would not want to bother over such a silly theoretical count that no one will ever use.
And also as I said if sims were ever to be done, I would want to finish running CC for playing strategies before the sims were run so I can give my final full prediction as my predictions were based only on comparisons of betting CC's.
I just ran WACC (Weighted Average Correlation Coefficients) of Norm's Black 2 Red 7 (B2R7) count as seen in the attached file.
Here are details.
Situation.........................,,,Blk2Red7 Hi-Low Red 7... KO
Betting, S17, DAS, no LS,,....95.6%,, 96.5%,, 96.8%,, 97.4%
Betting, S17, DAS, LS......... 95.2%,, 96.5% 96.4%.. 96.5%
WACC....................,,,,,,,......74.0%,, 73.7%,, 74.3%.. 75.1%
WACC has been used as a proxy for playing efficiency which worked out fine,
I would also want to add in a few other playing strategy CC but WACC is good enough for now.
So for WACC the order of playing efficiency is KO beats Red 7 beats B2R7 which beats HL, but the WACC of B2R7, Red 7 and HL are all very close but KO is the best in WACC.
So playing efficiency of B2R7 is essentially tied with HL.
The problem is the BCC (betting CC) of B2R7 is 95.2% compared to HL of 96.5% or a different of 1.3%.
That is about the same increase in betting efficiency of HO2 w ASC (97.9%) over HL (96.5%) = 1.4% which is what accounted for HL with AA78mTc SCORE to fall behind HO2 w ASC. The much smaller BB of HL to HO2 w ASC accounted for a large decrease in HL w AA78mTc SCORE.
Thus HL will beat B2R7 because of it higher (96.5%) BBC to B2R7 (95.2%
Thus I will stick by my prediction that Norm's B2R7 count will come in last place.
Attached is the calculated WACC
B2R7 WACC.pdf
Last edited by bjanalyst; 10-19-2020 at 09:06 PM.
Good that Norm's counts were not entered. Because his counts would come in last place.
I just looked at his count for two decks where he counted two of the Aces as zero and two as -1. I miscoded that in the Betting CC and had all of the Aces as -1. I found the error when I looked at the total for one deck and saw it was -2 instead of zero total which is required for balanced counts. So I corrected Norm's suggested tag for two deck and now his betting CC (BCC) is now 91.8%. You will never recover from such a terrible BCC.
The first place is KO if you use tc(KO) = 4 + (KO - 4*n)/dr and my LSL indices. Gronbog did the much more complicated KO w AA89mTc and 5m9c with these true count adjustments so they work great. I can provide KO indices and CC but not sims as I do not have the software to run sims.
Attached is the corrected BCC for HL, Red 7, KO, B2R7, Norm 2 deck and Norm 6 deck. It is Norm 2 deck with two Aces as -1 and two as zero, that I initially miscoded and which is now corrected and notice the 91.8% BCC. Norm's BCC come in last place. The playing strategy indices will be close to HL and the HL indices can be used. But the betting efficiency is very bad
Corrected Norm's level 1 counts.pdf
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