My wrestling coach at University would often yell, during competition - Hard on it, hard on it - we had plenty of laughs on that one. Once, while competing in a tournament at another University, during a scramble for control, my thumb went up another guys ass. He went Oooop, squeezed his cheeks, flipped over and I got the pin. He congratulated me on my victory. Another time, this asshole was fighting dirty - so, he bashed my ear and took a shot. The forward motion of his move made his nose catch the forward motion of my hip, at which time he got hit with a vicious cross face, I was one strong mother, flattened him on his stomach and rotated his head towards his ankles, while he was still flat on the mat. When his nose and ankles almost met, I simply finished the cradle and got the pin. The stupid prick came up swinging.
If you're nice, and get a few beers into me, I'll tell you about the famous step over triple toe hold.
Moses, Tarzan doesn't just play shoe games with his counting method. Best I recall he played 1D and 2D games, when available.
"Your honor, with all due respect: if you're going to try my case for me, I wish you wouldn't lose it."
Fictitious Boston Attorney Frank Galvin (Paul Newman - January 26, 1925 - September 26, 2008) in The Verdict, 1982, lambasting Trial Judge Hoyle (Milo Donal O'Shea - June 2, 1926 - April 2, 2013) - http://imdb.com/title/tt0084855/
For any given deck composition, there is a relatively exact RC/TC to be pinging on and a correct playing decision for that specific deck composition. This and your spread and bet ramp are your first priority. Sometimes you seem a little vague, Moses... "When my big bet is out there" doesn't tell me what your bet spread and betting ramp are worth a shit, just so you know. Clue me in on exactly what bet spread flies under the radar, what is the max bet spread you can get away with? Also, to give me idea of your utilization of what you do in regard to playing decisions, I sent you an email and asked a few questions.
Last edited by Tarzan; 02-24-2017 at 01:13 AM.
"Don S. Would you always or never play two hands in a high TC if you knew only one Ace remained?"
If I normally played two hands in a very high count, I wouldn't let the fact that only one ace remains stop me from continuing to do that. Your edge might be somewhat reduced, but getting blackjacks is far from your only edge in a very high count.
"Hockey question. My rule in sports betting is good teams find a way to win and bad teams find a way to lose. So bet on good vs bad teams at a great price."
Easier said than done. If you know one's a good team and one's a bad one, why isn't that already reflected in the price?
"But Hockey appears to be more like variance in blackjack. I mean grown men are are skating on ice trying to hit a hard piece of rubber into a small goal/net with a stick and that guy from Halloween that covers 90% of the space. Perhaps a soccer goal with Pee Wee Herman goalies would offer more strategy. Is it prudent to apply the same logic as in the other 3 major sports?"
To me, there is really only a single, fundamental rule of handicapping: you do your very best to assess the correct odds for the game, and make a play when you feel the odds offered reflect an opportunity. It's a simply precept to enunciate, but an incredibly difficult one to exploit for profit.
Don
Deviation, Moses. One isolated hand going one way or the other on a balmy day in paradise doesn't establish anything. Try for a bigger test sample!Hahaha Follow through with what you are theoretically supposed to do. You are looking for the overall outcome rather than fixating on short term results from too small a sample group to mean anything at all.
Moses' maintains a belief that if he makes plays that are (barely)
different from Basic Strategy he will be "backed off" (or worse).
By refusing to play a Single Deck game (his only choice) with enhanced
Playing Efficiency, he almost completely rejects the potential benefits
from the ground-breaking work of Tarzan, as P.E. is the beating heart of
his fine protocols.
Tarzan any updates when or if you going to make youre system available ? You've provided a chart for 12 v 2 with hit/stand decisions, none of the three columns exceed value of 10, do you further reduce them if theyre above 10? How can i come up with some of the indicies for this system? Thank you
Tarzan, with all due respect, the allegations that the nDAS, nRSA, D10 rules hinders/inhibits the Column player by hurting PE are being made, but what can be said about your count with regards to the previous rules stated in the previous clause I wrote?
Would the drop in EV be a "no biggie" event or would it be a "reconsider your life choices" event?
I mentioned about this on another thread. Look at Don's charts at the difference between 31/52, H17 and 31/52, H17, no DAS, d10 in terms of SCORE. It chops it nearly in half. These "allegations" appear to be cold, hard facts.
"Deck estimation is just that: an estimation. You don't need to know HOW many cards have been drawn, just that you have one less 2-5 cards, two less 6-9 cards, or three extra 10's."
Yes, I reduce it down. One less {2-5}, two less {6-9}, or three extra {T} means something different at 2.75 decks remaining than at 1.25 decks remaining is all. Imbalances within the {2-5} and {6-9} groupings, key card effect also make an impact.
I've been trying to determine what Moses is doing, the logic behind it, and I'd have to steer him off the "Percentage of these, percentage of those and... Viola! You gotta the big fat a pizza pie!" or whatever it is and think more in terms of EOR. It would be so very different that I'd probably have to tell him to forget everything he's ever learned or thought of because we're going to start over and think of it a little differently. Old dogs have a tougher time with new tricks than young dogs have with old tricks. I would have to look much closer to determine how effective T count could possibly be at Moses home game. It's not such a great game that I'm catching the next flight out or anything.
Last edited by Tarzan; 02-25-2017 at 02:41 AM.
Hopefully I got that right, I had to flop it around to something I can interpret. They are all positive counts calling for big bets, max bets... Duh, let me see... the TC+14, what to do, what to do... What is the purpose of asking this? Those are all normal compositions seen in highly positive counts. How about something truly wacky, using your numbers, something like 9-0-0-6-3 or 2-6-7-1-2 just to be adventurous or something? What is the difference? What do you make of these deck compositions you listed? Also, the TC I estimated is based on an even distribution within the {2-5} grouping... only 16 cards played, wouldn't you know if you'd seen any (4,5) or not? This impacts TC. Where are you going with this, what purpose does this serve you? Are you questioning when to slap your max bet out there or something?
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