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Originally Posted by
chrisjs87
I don't see how any other method could be more accurate and practical than this.
I look at it as win rate in dollars per EV. I go into the casino to generate as high an EV as possible. It is not high because I play a lot of shoes. Many shoes are negative EV. If I play them my EV is worse than if I didn't play them. The work in Don's epic book Blackjack Attack edition 3 tells you what you need to know to help maximize your EV in any given time. Other factors are game speed and crowding.
Originally Posted by
chrisjs87
Right, with each additional player the expected win per shoe drops(loss of playable rounds), but you end up with more played shoes.
This is incorrect. You play more shoes in any number of total rounds at a crowded table but you play far fewer shoes in any given time frame. Win rate by time rather than shoe would have you avoiding what you seem to think is valuable.
Originally Posted by
chrisjs87
If you know what the range of rounds will be in a given shoe with X number of players, wouldn't the result of measuring profit per shoe be essentially the same as measuring by estimated rounds played?
I think the answer is already implied. Heads up I can play a shoe in 5-10 minutes and get 52 rounds out of each shoe. At a crowded table a shoe takes 20 minutes or more and I will get 26 or less rounds in. How would counting shoes be any kind of indicator of what happened?
If you count EV by how many of each bet size you make times the EV for each bet size you get the EV for you time spent. This is what you are trying to maximize. If you look at the affect on EV of each bet size made you can see what the most effective way of generating the most EV is.
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