BTW, can "No Need To Count" by Leon Dubey be or not considered as a progression ?
http://www.blackjackforumonline.com/...unt_system.htm
No doubt he is keeping no records and is a victim of selective memory. Either that or he has been lucky so far. You can't get around the math of anything. You either target advantage situations or you lose your total bet times the HE. You might get lucky and have an accidental correlation with the fluctuating HE but that won't last and in time you approach expectation as that initial win becomes less and less significant to the increasingly negative expectation.
For Picasso
Mathematical Proof that Progressions cannot overcome Expectation.
http://www.roulette-bet.com/2015/02/...gressions.html
How do you disprove that?
Last edited by seriousplayer; 08-25-2016 at 02:47 PM.
My favorite way is to go back to elementary school math. You have the Commutative law of addition. This states that when adding two or more numbers together that it doesn't matter what order they are added. You combine that with no correlated change in the house edge to your bet and you could bet the bets in any order and have the same expectation. So you have this carefully arranged progression of bets not based on anything related to your advantage for the bet that you believe will affect your results. Any elementary school kid could tell you the expected result over the entirety of play will be the same no matter what order you make the bets in since they can be added in any order and get the same figure. So instead of that careful order you bet all your smallest bets first. Then you bet all your next largest next until all the bets are exactly the same as the progression had bet. The sum of the EV is exactly the same as if you made them in the progressions order. The progression bettor simply has to deny the first law of mathematics anyone learns in elementary school to believe his progression could possibly have an advantage. His sample size is just too small for him to see that in his results. If he asked his 4th grade son he could tell him it can't work. It is obvious once you literally learn the first thing about mathematics.
None of those two.
The general philosophy behind «Synchronicity (or Feng Shui) Blackjack» is:
Three scenarios:
-A winning streak
-A losing streak
-Anything in between
Any progression needs to address these 3 situations adequately, low bets when loosing, having your higher bets win and lower bets lose when in a 50/50 sequence and dishing out but high bets on a winning streak. Impossible task for a progression, NOT.
Positive progressions generally assume a win after winning a hand (up as you win/down as you lose)
Negative progressions generally assume a win following a loss (up as you lose, down as you win)
«Synchronicity (or Feng Shui) Blackjack» is neither a positive nor a negative progression, it’s dynamic, it will take advantage of positive situations and minimize unfavorable ones. It will even take advantage of sheer luck. Blackjack is all about sequences and flows; up and down and in the middle and any system has to address these.
If the favorable cards are at the start of a deck «Synchronicity (or Feng Shui) Blackjack» will work fine. In this situation the card counter has to count and wait, thus he can see (sadly) his opportunity slipping thru is fingers, even if most of the table is winning.
If or when the system is validated it will send a shock wave in the casino blackjack industry.
I know similar claims have been made in the past, mostly opportunistic people selling flawed systems. I will not sell anything that hasn’t been proven because I am a social worker and I consider myself to be a moral person. I really think I have found the philosophers stone of blackjack, but then again, believing is cheap.
I also know that 99.99 % of the people on this respectable board will, at best, treat this post as entertainment. I expect that.
So far, most of my money has been made playing online, because I can play many hands in an hour, more so than at a landed casino. Recently, I have made over 2000$ playing at a 15 cents (CAD) minimum bet blackjack (microgaming). Table limit was 1-1000, I played in Norwegian Krone. Winning money isn’t proof of anything and I know that, but it’s better than losing money (and I hate losing good money).
Believe me, I have tried almost all progressions that are out there, I invented more than a few and improved on others. In essence, I have applied praxis to blackjack, namely what lies in between theory and practice, weather it comes from a Cartesian or Existentialist paradigm.
If I am proven wrong, so be it, but just in case, remember the name «Synchronicity (or Feng Shui) Blackjack» and that you first heard about it here.
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