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Originally Posted by
Red Green
My question is really about #8 which has been discussed before. Leaving aside playing at some theoretical shop where no one ever gets backed off or counter-measured, in the real world, in a shop you intend to return to, once you're approaching a win that is 3-4-5 x your buy-in, even if it happens fast, isn't it really ok to say "thanks for the money - see you next time!" and slip away?
You have to analyse and approach every situation differently. You cannot play every place the same way. And, for any place that you play at regularly you should absolutely mix it up and try to keep them guessing, which includes a hit-and-run sometimes. Try different things like, don't sit down. If you start really kicking ass in a shoe right out of the gate say something to the floor and dealer like, "Damn, I really shouldn't be in here today. But, if I can hold onto some of this, I could definitely pay a couple of decent-size bills off later." Or, if you're at the end of a shoe that you've just crushed say something when cashing out like, "Two grand, not bad. I get beat for that much too often, but can't remember the last time I won like this here." Get creative. The key to this at all times is to act natural. Mimic things you've heard ploppy's say. If you can be very likable, it is a bonus towards longevity (at least sometimes).
Originally Posted by
Red Green
Given that its impossible to know whether you will continue to win or lose any session, can you really know that walking away at a pre-set point is capping wins overall? Isn't there some psychological benefit to walking away up (Yes, yes, yes...true APs are robots, but deep down, even robots have feelings)?
The only way you'd be capping wins is if you leave when you have an advantage. Once you've lost the advantage and you lose a hand or two, boogie if it's time to go. The ideal exit point, if you're looking for one, is when you've lost the advantage and the dealer flips a Blackjack on that round or the next. "Well, I know where this is headed. I'm not giving this back for once." There is absolutely some psychological benefits to leaving when up, especially if you're coming out of a really rough patch. Scooping up some small wins can help you get your confidence back. Again, just be sure you are not bailing when you have an advantage. That will screw you over time. You can try something like (I'm not sure what stakes you play) setting your exit points at something like: Don't start another shoe if you're ahead $1500, or behind $750.
Going in and playing until you've shown your top bet and then leaving is a pattern that they will spot quickly. Try and think of how each store perceive you at all times. Mix up the way you play sometimes ("Man, I gotta get to work."). Doing this is an art. And, perfecting one's art takes continuous effort.
Cheers,
FW
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