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Thread: Blackjack Probability

  1. #53


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    Wasting time trying to convince systems players. Just look at all the baccarat and roulette trash out there. If you can't convince them, you surely won't convince the same type of blackjack player either.

  2. #54
    Senior Member UK-21's Avatar
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    The real worrying bit in Reyth's opening post is this . . .

    Quote Originally Posted by Reyth View Post
    For instance, it is commonly accepted that 25 EC's in a row is a benchmark that might be seen once in a person's lifetime (once in tens of millions of coup attempts) and each coup attempt has its own probability, from 1 on down the list to the 25th.
    Simply put . . . no. As everyone here appreciates (I hope) 24 Reds may have been spun in succession but the probability of the next number being red as well remains the same at 18/37 (on a European wheel). In the short time that I use to post at the esteemed Roulette30 forum, I did point this out (more than once I'm sure) but I regret to say my contributions tended to be received as heresy by the vast majority. As I've already suggested, IMHO Reyth needs to break free from all of his long held misconceptions and go back to the drawing board.
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  3. #55
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  4. #56


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    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy
    Norm, I also wanted to post this link, to show that the fact that you just posted it, had no statistical bearing upon whether or not I would also post it

  5. #57


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    I find it rather sad, in this day and age of instant information, technology, the internet, and the incredibly vast network of information dissemination, that people who have access to all of this can still live under a rock, where painfully ignorant views continue to be held and, worse, espoused. It's a sad commentary on the lack of resourcefulness of those who ought to know better.

    Don

  6. #58
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    Then again, 95% of what's on the I'Net is false. So, this is an incredibly vast network of disinformation dissemination.
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  7. #59


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    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    Then again, 95% of what's on the I'Net is false.
    How do you come up with that number?

    Don

  8. #60
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  9. #61


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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    How do you come up with that number?
    BJA3 p....

  10. #62


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    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    95% of what's on the I'Net is false
    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    How do you come up with that number?
    Easy -- It's well known that 95% of statistics are made up.

  11. #63


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    Quote Originally Posted by Gronbog View Post
    Easy -- It's well known that 95% of statistics are made up.
    But not everything on the internet is statistics!

    Don

  12. #64
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    But not everything on the internet is statistics!

    Don
    Where did you get that statistic?
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  13. #65


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    “Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital.”

    ? Aaron Levenstein

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