This thread is a pile of
https://media1.tenor.com/images/9606...itemid=5120618
All of it. You are actually only about 43% likely to win any given hand - ignoring pushes and slightly higher/lower percentages with different rule sets. EV is very close to zero due to bonus payouts, splitting and doubling. Think about it: if we actually won half the time, flat bettors would make a killing! They’d never lose more than their bet, but would win more when they are dealt naturals or either split or double.
if the dealer wins, just 55% of the time, in ever series of two hands:
dealer wins twice : 30.25%
player wins twice: 20.25%
Each wins once: 49.5% (in your system, if the player wins first, he loses money)
if if you play perfect basic strategy, you will slowly lose money over time. Depending on the casino and thei comp program, you MIGHT, be able to get a little ahead. However, this would have nothing to do with the betting system and everything to do with basic strategy and generous comps. You would not be able to make a living wage.
Sure, close it if you want.
Meanwhile, I will be laughing all the way to the bank regarding the amount that I am UP as a successful Walter Thomason progression bettor while you sad counters, working your ass off night and day, struggle to break-even after X mins/hours/days/weeks/months/years of playing! (sorry, WORKING!)
Bughouse has been promoting this guys system for years and years without any proof. his mirage effect he has on increasing his wager 5 units after every win has nothing but inconsistant results. i would rather like to know how he plays then how much he bets. and not how many in a row but how many wins and how many loses.
thank you (for nothing)
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