Is there any way to simulate the ten count for insurance purposes on CVCX? Where Tens = -2 Non tens = +1. Insure when RC equals 4 times the number of decks in play.
Thanks
Is there any way to simulate the ten count for insurance purposes on CVCX? Where Tens = -2 Non tens = +1. Insure when RC equals 4 times the number of decks in play.
Thanks
Well yes - get CVData. CVCX alone does not have side count capability. However, if you call CVCX from CVData, it 'borrows' the side count capability from CVData. One of the several side count features of CVData is the Insurance Ten Count that you described.
> Is there any way to simulate the ten count for
> insurance purposes on CVCX? Where Tens = -2 Non tens =
> +1. Insure when RC equals 4 times the number of decks
> in play.
> Thanks
Serious Blackjack Software
Norm-
Can you tell me what statistical information CVdata provides in reference to the ten count? I'm looking for the insurance edge at all possible ranges of the ten count, and the possible ranges of the ten count for 1,2,4, and 6 decks. How often one can expect to see a positive edge with the ten count, and of course, whatever else is available with CVdata.
Thanks
The tables with Insurance data are below. However, all data is by TC at the start of the round because that is of most interest. It might be interesting to add an option to use the TC at Insurance time.
Test Sim
Friday, April 13, 2007, 10:12 PM
[/b]Here we see the amount bet, won, Win Rate and Total Bet Advantage for Insurance, Double Downs and Splits by True Count.
Player #1: True Count Contributions Insurance Double Downs Splits Bet Win/Lose Rate EV Bet Win/Lose Rate TBA Bet Win/Lose Rate TBA +25 18 -18 $0.00 -50.00% +24 36 -36 $0.00 -50.00% +22 54 54 $0.00 50.00% 18 -72 $0.00 -100.0% 126 144 $0.00 57.1% +21 126 -18 $0.00 -7.14% 54 72 $0.00 33.3% 306 216 $0.00 35.3% +20 252 -36 $0.00 -7.14% 162 360 $0.00 55.6% 234 108 $0.00 23.1% +19 612 252 $0.00 20.59% 540 792 $0.00 36.7% 1,332 756 $0.00 28.4% +18 2,832 858 $0.00 15.15% 1,620 2,016 $0.01 31.1% 3,474 2,628 $0.01 37.8% +17 5,148 1,818 $0.01 17.66% 3,498 5,136 $0.03 36.7% 8,676 6,912 $0.03 39.8% +16 7,098 2,136 $0.01 15.05% 4,626 5,184 $0.03 28.0% 9,540 5,652 $0.03 29.6% +15 22,560 5,808 $0.03 12.87% 16,614 19,800 $0.10 29.8% 33,660 21,408 $0.11 31.8% +14 42,330 12,408 $0.06 14.66% 36,672 36,840 $0.18 25.1% 64,296 37,506 $0.19 29.2% +13 103,470 23,664 $0.12 11.44% 91,818 110,952 $0.55 30.2% 155,268 94,056 $0.47 30.3% +12 123,588 26,910 $0.13 10.89% 117,132 125,736 $0.63 26.8% 197,892 116,172 $0.58 29.4% +11 354,558 60,342 $0.30 8.51% 356,706 367,296 $1.84 25.7% 576,444 306,558 $1.53 26.6% +10 562,206 96,288 $0.48 8.56% 602,592 585,984 $2.93 24.3% 911,628 483,972 $2.42 26.5% +9 1,178,796 153,834 $0.77 6.53% 1,365,930 1,295,184 $6.48 23.7% 1,921,926 947,580 $4.74 24.7% +8 1,554,156 157,950 $0.79 5.08% 1,904,874 1,718,976 $8.59 22.6% 2,378,466 1,090,254 $5.45 22.9% +7 2,243,452 184,472 $0.92 4.11% 2,858,916 2,452,304 $12.26 21.4% 3,201,648 1,361,808 $6.81 21.3% +6 3,431,000 184,492 $0.92 2.69% 4,574,704 3,787,184 $18.94 20.7% 4,496,088 1,731,560 $8.66 19.3% +5 3,086,342 102,130 $0.51 1.65% 4,238,826 3,398,960 $16.99 20.0% 3,339,748 1,113,640 $5.57 16.7% +4 4,533,222 60,858 $0.30 .67% 6,831,328 5,140,512 $25.70 18.8% 3,937,504 1,048,378 $5.24 13.3% +3 3,613,784 -5,076 ($0.03) -.07% 8,707,950 6,639,108 $33.20 19.1% 4,417,428 859,569 $4.30 9.7% +2 333,002 -3,488 ($0.02) -.52% 9,602,597 7,111,008 $35.56 18.5% 4,896,889 873,598 $4.37 8.9% +1 1.7957e7 1.2576e7 $62.88 17.5% 9,253,573 1,432,426 $7.16 7.7% 0 2.8010e7 1.8879e7 $94.39 16.9% 1.5087e7 1,948,240 $9.74 6.5% -1 1.7516e7 1.1642e7 $58.21 16.6% 9,711,042 1,053,344 $5.27 5.4% -2 9,195,318 5,963,840 $29.82 16.2% 5,191,193 491,986 $2.46 4.7% -3 5,289,417 3,295,404 $16.48 15.6% 2,937,508 215,654 $1.08 3.7% -4 2,837,705 1,695,144 $8.48 14.9% 1,584,013 81,424 $0.41 2.6% -5 1,531,357 955,208 $4.78 15.6% 989,890 28,544 $0.14 1.4% -6 767,644 477,624 $2.39 15.6% 499,506 13,920 $0.07 1.4% -7 458,341 276,680 $1.38 15.1% 281,033 -1,636 ($0.01) -.3% -8 191,367 101,752 $0.51 13.3% 117,134 -2,066 ($0.01) -.9% -9 135,228 67,392 $0.34 12.5% 80,325 -1,052 ($0.01) -.7% -10 59,962 30,100 $0.15 12.5% 33,275 -2,282 ($0.01) -3.4% -11 33,435 17,896 $0.09 13.4% 19,142 304 $0.00 .8% -12 10,167 4,288 $0.02 10.5% 5,700 -442 $0.00 -3.9% -13 8,639 2,744 $0.01 7.9% 4,969 -474 $0.00 -4.8% -14 3,595 1,472 $0.01 10.2% 1,952 -508 $0.00 -13.0% -15 2,105 860 $0.00 10.2% 1,038 $0.00 -16 561 -144 $0.00 -6.4% 270 36 $0.00 6.7% -17 475 16 $0.00 .8% 285 -96 $0.00 -16.8% -18 177 -12 $0.00 -1.7% 63 -36 $0.00 -28.6% -19 96 72 $0.00 18.8% 60 -18 $0.00 -15.0% -20 18 -24 $0.00 -33.3% -21 9 -12 $0.00 -33.3% 6 12 $0.00 100% -22 9 -12 $0.00 -33.3% 6 $0.00
[/b]Results by type of hand are provided. The first four columns of data display the number of bets made, won, lost and tied. Units bet and won are provided. Advantage is Total Bet Advantage.
Player #1: Hand Types Hands Units Advantage Total Won Lost Tied Bet Won/Lost Percent Std. Dev. Ins. 8,630,226 2,962,486 -5,667,740 2.1199e7 1,065,602 5.027% 0.026 Surr. 3.7602e7 -3.7602e7 5.2581e7 -5.2581e7 -50% 0.00 Splits 5.1620e7 2.5381e7 -2.2602e7 3,636,338 1.5270e8 1.5360e7 10.059% 0.020 Soft DD 1.8912e7 9,827,658 -7,948,960 1,135,192 9.2219e7 1.0259e7 11.124% 0.029 Hard DD 8.8649e7 4.9425e7 -3.2787e7 6,436,707 4.0909e8 7.8531e7 19.197% 0.014
[/b]Results by type of hand are provided including win/loss/tie distributions, percentages for each hand type, action and win rates.
Player #1: Win, Loss & Tied Percentages by Hand Type Distribution Including Ties Excluding Ties Dollars per Hour Bets Units Won Lost Tied Won Lost Action Win Rate Ins. 0.84% 0.18% 34.33% 65.67% 34.33% 65.67% $105.99 $5.33 Surr. 3.66% 0.79% 100% 100% $262.90 ($262.90) Splits 5.02% 4.33% 49.17% 43.79% 7.04% 52.90% 47.10% $763.52 $76.80 Soft DD 1.84% 1.59% 51.97% 42.03% 6.00% 55.28% 44.72% $461.09 $51.29 Hard DD 8.63% 7.44% 55.75% 36.99% 7.26% 60.12% 39.88% $2,045.43 $392.66
> The tables with Insurance data are below. However, all
> data is by TC at the start of the round because that
> is of most interest. It might be interesting to add an
> option to use the TC at Insurance time.
So I take it CVdata will let me add this option, and it will show me, or help me figure out, how often the opportunities to insure profitably will arise? I want to know the edge of insurance bets at all ten counts and how often they will present themselves with any number of decks and penetrations..
Thanks for running the above sims!
It supplies the tables I posted. But, the counts are at the start of the round; not when the Insurance bet is made. I just added an option to allow building these tables based on a recalculation of the count when the Insurance decision is made in CVData V4 which is still in testing. Actually it's something I've wanted to add for awhile and your post reminded me.
> So I take it CVdata will let me add this option, and
> it will show me, or help me figure out, how often the
> opportunities to insure profitably will arise? I want
> to know the edge of insurance bets at all ten counts
> and how often they will present themselves with any
> number of decks and penetrations..
> Thanks for running the above sims!
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