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Thread: CHANCE KING: trackable aces

  1. #1
    CHANCE KING
    Guest

    CHANCE KING: trackable aces

    how beatable is it to track a clump of aces in a single pass shuffle .. on a 6d,no surrendr,nsa,d9 game .. penetration 75%..
    and this is not sequencing aces.. but just trackng a bunch of aces .. on a single pass.straightforward shuffle ..

    i find it hard because i would tend to get the aces together .. and i cant resplit them ..
    opinions appreciated
    thanks ..

  2. #2
    Geoff Hall
    Guest

    Geoff Hall: Re: trackable aces


    > how beatable is it to track a clump of aces
    > in a single pass shuffle .. on a 6d,no
    > surrendr,nsa,d9 game .. penetration 75%..
    > and this is not sequencing aces.. but just
    > trackng a bunch of aces .. on a single
    > pass.straightforward shuffle ..

    > i find it hard because i would tend to get
    > the aces together .. and i cant resplit them
    > ..

    Depends how many you can track each shoe but a single pass shuffle is highly beatable despite the poor rules.

    It's just bad luck if you end up with 2 Aces together, particularly as you can't split them.

    Additionally, there are ideal opportunities to 'section track' and play with favourable cards, providing you can get the cut-card enough.

    Best regards

    Geoff





  3. #3
    chance king
    Guest

    chance king: comparison!

    > Depends how many you can track each shoe but
    > a single pass shuffle is highly beatable
    > despite the poor rules.

    > It's just bad luck if you end up with 2 Aces
    > together, particularly as you can't split
    > them.

    > Additionally, there are ideal opportunities
    > to 'section track' and play with favourable
    > cards, providing you can get the cut-card
    > enough.

    > Best regards

    > Geoff

    no problem .. i get a head on game all the time ..reserved table ..
    would you say this is more beatable than a straight counting that is offerred in other casinos nearby ..6d,surrender,80%penetration,da2,nrsa..,das.. totally untrackable?
    thanks again


  4. #4
    Geoff Hall
    Guest

    Geoff Hall: Re: comparison!


    > no problem .. i get a head on game all the
    > time ..reserved table ..
    > would you say this is more beatable than a
    > straight counting that is offerred in other
    > casinos nearby
    > ..6d,surrender,80%penetration,da2,nrsa..,das..
    > totally untrackable?
    > thanks again

    Although the other game seems to have nice rules, for counting purposes, the single-shuffle is a far better proposition for an astute Ace tracker.

    My concern would be being able to consistently get away with big bets (with Aces following), especially in a heads-up situation. Obviously this will depend on your act as well as the competence of the management.

    It's asking a lot but if you could 'section-track' as well, especially when heads-up, then this would allow you to vary your bets more often and play the part of a 'gambler'.

    It's not often that you can get a 17% edge at the Blackjack table (51%/3) but if the situation allows you to get these opportunities frequently then you do not have to be too greedy when the event arises.

    Best regards

    Geoff




  5. #5
    Fuzzy Math
    Guest

    Fuzzy Math: Re: comparison!

    > Although the other game seems to have nice
    > rules, for counting purposes, the
    > single-shuffle is a far better proposition
    > for an astute Ace tracker.

    > My concern would be being able to
    > consistently get away with big bets (with
    > Aces following), especially in a heads-up
    > situation. Obviously this will depend on
    > your act as well as the competence of the
    > management.

    > It's asking a lot but if you could
    > 'section-track' as well, especially when
    > heads-up, then this would allow you to vary
    > your bets more often and play the part of a
    > 'gambler'.

    > It's not often that you can get a 17% edge
    > at the Blackjack table (51%/3) but if the
    > situation allows you to get these
    > opportunities frequently then you do not
    > have to be too greedy when the event arises.

    > Best regards

    > Geoff

    If the dealer gets the ace instead of you, then you are at a large disadvantage. I'm not sure how you got 17%, but even if either you or the dealer got an ace on every single round your edge would only be around 7%.

  6. #6
    chance king
    Guest

    chance king: thank you

    > Thanks .. gives me more confidence to attack the game .. no problems .. management appear to be relaxed and dumb .. no heat but i dont expect to stay long either ..

    Although the other game seems to have nice
    > rules, for counting purposes, the
    > single-shuffle is a far better proposition
    > for an astute Ace tracker.

    > My concern would be being able to
    > consistently get away with big bets (with
    > Aces following), especially in a heads-up
    > situation. Obviously this will depend on
    > your act as well as the competence of the
    > management.

    > It's asking a lot but if you could
    > 'section-track' as well, especially when
    > heads-up, then this would allow you to vary
    > your bets more often and play the part of a
    > 'gambler'.

    > It's not often that you can get a 17% edge
    > at the Blackjack table (51%/3) but if the
    > situation allows you to get these
    > opportunities frequently then you do not
    > have to be too greedy when the event arises.

    > Best regards

    > Geoff

  7. #7
    Geoff Hall
    Guest

    Geoff Hall: Re: comparison!


    > If the dealer gets the ace instead of you,
    > then you are at a large disadvantage. I'm
    > not sure how you got 17%, but even if either
    > you or the dealer got an ace on every single
    > round your edge would only be around 7%.

    With a single shuffle it is highly unlikely that the dealer will get the Ace that a competent tracker has located, although the dealer could end up with one at random.

    The 17% is calculated from spreading to 3 boxes, in order to catch the Ace, and therefore dividing the advantage of having an Ace dealt as first card, which is 51% (just under), by the number of hands you are playing, which is 3.

    Best regards

    Geoff




  8. #8
    Fuzzy Math
    Guest

    Fuzzy Math: Re: comparison!

    > With a single shuffle it is highly unlikely
    > that the dealer will get the Ace that a
    > competent tracker has located, although the
    > dealer could end up with one at random.

    > The 17% is calculated from spreading to 3
    > boxes, in order to catch the Ace, and
    > therefore dividing the advantage of having
    > an Ace dealt as first card, which is 51%
    > (just under), by the number of hands you are
    > playing, which is 3.

    > Best regards

    > Geoff

    The initial post, however, said that he is NOT sequencing aces, just tracking clumps of them. Therefore, the only information he has is which sections are ace-rich and which are poor. Exactly which hands will get them is still random.

  9. #9
    Geoff Hall
    Guest

    Geoff Hall: Re: comparison!


    > The initial post, however, said that he is
    > NOT sequencing aces, just tracking clumps of
    > them. Therefore, the only information he has
    > is which sections are ace-rich and which are
    > poor. Exactly which hands will get them is
    > still random.

    You're right, I assumed, due to the single shuffle, that it was tracking them and overlooked the 'locating in a clump' method.

    For a single riffle I wouldn't consider anything else apart from exact location of the Aces with a bit of section tracking thrown in to help disguise the betting.

    Best regards

    Geoff




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