Originally Posted by
MJ1
Ok, maybe I'm missing something. Let's talk specifics. Over the course of an hour, I play through 3 shoes. The particulars are as follows:
Shoe #1
4 players, 1.5 decks cut off, 1 hand/round, Wong out
Shoe #2
Heads up, 1.75 decks cut off, 2 hands/round, play-all
Shoe #3
5 players, 1.25 decks cut off, 1 hand/round, play-all.
Now, how would you go about estimating your EV and variance for the hour of play? Better yet, several hundred hours of play? Are you going to use a 'one size fits all' approach and come up with some gross approximation of say 2 players, 1.5 decks cut off, 1 hand/round, play all, 100 rounds played per hour? This would not yield a reliable estimate. The only reasonable methodology seems to be to track the aforementioned variables for each shoe and then run simulations to find the theoretical EV and variance. Yes, it will take 1000s of shoes to reach N0.
MJ
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