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Originally Posted by
Jacblacc911
@Dog Hand
Thank you very much for this. It is just what I was looking for
Just to clarify, the payout is definitely 160-1. (The 150-1 is for a very similar, but not the same, side bet). The tags are identical in both.
On another note, I believe the variance is around 148 with SD = 12.2, which frightens me a bit.
@Cacarulo
Is the 214 card subset random, or must it contain the exact proportions of the cards stated in order to match your results for E0, E1, E2, E5?
i.e. Did you have to use any tags for each individual egalite bet along with the specific payout schedule for each egalite? Or are you simply saying that there is a positive EV situation on the bets mentioned when this specific proportion of cards are left?
Yes, the subset was taken random and I used the classical payouts (0-9): [150, 215, 225, 200, 120, 110, 45, 45, 80, 80]. Of course, the exact EVs are for that specific subset.
No tags were used, just CA.
Code:
EV VAR PROB
Player : -0.01164343 0.90653630 0.44751422
Banker : -0.01131445 0.86177598 0.45915765
Tie : -0.16004678 6.85405754 0.09332814
Egalite 0 : 0.00876542 151.30597148 0.00668057
Egalite 1 : 0.04553411 224.74222588 0.00484044
Egalite 2 : 0.08441259 243.90129433 0.00479829
Egalite 3 : -0.13020689 174.07187584 0.00432733
Egalite 4 : -0.08599986 109.75862089 0.00755372
Egalite 5 : 0.07990347 118.70309327 0.00972886
Egalite 6 : -0.18836720 36.67636113 0.01764419
Egalite 7 : -0.16004136 37.93256702 0.01825997
Egalite 8 : -0.20828725 63.50192332 0.00977423
Egalite 9 : -0.21263582 63.15655607 0.00972055
Take a look at the variance on column #2.
Sincerely,
Cac
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