Quote Originally Posted by Dog Hand View Post
If you're waiting for just the "3 suited aces" portion (3SAP) of the sidebet to be +EV, you're going to be waiting a long, LONG time.
heh heh. That's why I asked.
Quote Originally Posted by Dog Hand View Post
Let's consider the $5 bet, where the jackpot is $40K, or 8000 $5 units. <some good math presented>
Thank you, Dog Hand! this is they type of guidance I was looking for.

Quote Originally Posted by Dog Hand View Post
The good news is that at $40K the 3SAP becomes +EV if the shoe gets down to about 108 cards with no aces played.

Alternatively, off-the-top it's +EV if the jackpot passes 8000/0.0414894720464682 = 192820 units, or $964,100.
Very interesting stuff.

This appears to be a localized rather than wide-area networked progressive (possibly casino rather than region based). I'd not seen this before this weekend and now I've seen it in two different casinos. In the one I was in today, the $5 bet progressive was up to a bit over $117K and the $1 bet progressive was just over $15K.

Quote Originally Posted by Dog Hand View Post
Hope this helps!
Very much! Thank you!