"I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse
It also depends on what hand value the player has. If the player has 12vsA, he should take insurance at +5 instead of ES. If the player has 16vsA, he should take insurance at +10 instead of ES.
This is my calculation: you set the player's disadvantage of not taking ES equal to the player's advantage of taking insurance. For example for the hand 16vsA: 68%-50%=(x-2.4)*2.2%, then you get x=10.
Let Norm use his CVData to verify this.
Last edited by aceside; 04-04-2021 at 12:38 PM.
This part is tricky. I just assume the player's disadvantage does not change very much with the true count by taking the midground of hitting and standing disadvantages. The insurance index for a six-deck shoe should be +2.4. Another tricky part I haven't included above is a 0.5 factor, but somebody has verified that we can take both ES and insurance, so there is no need to calculate this.
I am not going to spend the day on this but I will state it clear. Hopefully Norm will read it and if not taking any action, at least he will have the "temperature of the water" for what I believe the average forum reader that I am.
This aceside poster writes so much garbage numbers here that except for confusing any newbie, it serves absolutely nothing, zero, niet, rien, etc.
So, anytime I see his appearance on a thread, I just skip it.
Some other times, I will only look for Don or Gronbog answers to see how far in the woods was aceside.... again.
This place is a leading site in BJ authority and aceside is the type of poster that can drag it to the municipal dump.
G Man
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