I propose this new strategy, based on these two reasonings: card counting and ace prediction. Suppose we have a six-deck shoe with the strip rules.
1. The effect of removal of a ten-valued card is about the same as that of an Ace card, meaning that a Ten and an Ace are equally important for the bet size. However, this assumes that you cannot locate Aces.
2. If we can locate aces, the Ace card will be a lot more important: it gives an expected return of 51% for the player, but 37% for the dealer, depending on who gets it. The means a huge asymmetry for us to explore.
When the remaining deck is Ace-rich but Ten-neutral (TC>0), we have the best odds for naturals, so we catch them using a large bet size. When the remaining deck is Ace-poor but Ten-rich (TC>0), we play two hands to take advantage of the player’s privileges: surrender, split, double down, and side bets of insurance and any others.
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