Assuming hi-lo count system, are there any publications of the chance of dealer busting as the count increases or decreases?
I only know the chance for neutral shoe. If anyone knows please provide me.
Many thanks in advance
Assuming hi-lo count system, are there any publications of the chance of dealer busting as the count increases or decreases?
I only know the chance for neutral shoe. If anyone knows please provide me.
Many thanks in advance
PromVRT,
Here you go! The second graph gives the information you requested.
https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...20ratep=226368
Hope this helps!
Dog Hand
CVdata may be what your looking for
https://www.qfit.com/downloads.htm
http://bjstrat.net/cgi-bin/cdca.cgi
Bust rate lower at higher count? This sounds conflicting. I think bust rate at higher count is supposed to be higher because the high card gives higher probability to bust the dealer more often when dealer has 2-6, which is also why players always stand against low cards at high count. For the ace and ten, she is not supposed to bust regardless.
Depends on number of players. See the third chart here: https://www.blackjackincolor.com/useless2.htm
"I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse
https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...ncy-vs-HiLo-TC
This one works. Many thanks to Dog hand
But I'll try the sim anyway as I play S17 games, the chance of busting is less, especially 6 upcard where some busts are replaced by dealer soft 17.
Comments and questions on each of the above charts:
1. Norm, why does the bust rate show at about 23% and not the traditional 28.6%? I see two possibilities: 1) This is for BEFORE the dealer checks for a natural under tens and aces; and/or 2) This is for a lone player, where the dealer doesn't complete his hand if the player breaks. Note that the footnote says for 1, 3, and 6 players. But there's only one graph! And, I'm guessing that it's for a lone player.
2. For Dog Hand, while the charts are great, NONE actually shows the global dealer bust rate against ALL upcards combined, according to true count. And, I think that was the OP's question. Norm's chart shows this, but with the objections I have mentioned above.
So, to conclude, what I'd like to see is a graph of the dealer's global bust rate, across all counts, for PLAYABLE hands, where the dealer is required to complete his hand. (I know what the graph looks like, but I still haven't seen it anywhere here.)
Don
This is 1, 3, and 6 players. I ran it also with dealer always completes, and it was imperceptibly different from 6 players. This is six decks, S17.
dbust1.jpg
"I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse
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