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Originally Posted by
DSchles
Did you expect a long discussion of your (somewhat ridiculous) original question?
Don
Although ridiculous, modifying the parameters of his question could lead to some meaningful discussion along the same lines. So, on Zees behalf, I present the following:
Dear Dr. Freightman
1. I’ve observed the odd ploppy doubling 10v10. More often than not, the results are somewhat below Expectation - yet, I’ve noted some of the better players getting remarkably lucky when they do so with a large bet out. Do you have any thoughts on the matter?
2. Does your approach differ if the remaining deck(s) are ace rich?
Zee The Casino Destroyer
Dear Zee TCD
When executed properly, no play adds value faster than doubling 10v10 (except possibly splitting 10’s). EV animals will execute this play at true 4. General literature on the subject typically ignores risk averse approach or the question of ace density.
Your advanced shearer of casino coffers will take a risk averse approach to the play. He/she will typically wait until true 7 before attempting this play. Waiting until true 7 captures a far higher percentage of the Expected Value. This approach allows a higher max bet or simply utilize a lower max bet - the benefit being reduced variance.
The play is also ace sensitive and thus, those practitioners of the regaled FBM ASC or some other ace side count are able to execute a bigger range on the play. Dr. Freightman gets a tingle in his loins when 10 v 10 at high counts are present. Heart rate increases when said ace density is surplus in addition to high count. Perspiration with increased blood pressure adds to the mounting excitement when further analysis (previously undisclosed though suggested) discloses a high quality of true count. Mental orgasm is achieved when presented with an ace after doubling.
Ace sensitivity is also important on other plays, such as 99v7. EV max on this play is +3, though Dr. Freightman waits until 5 or 6. Learning FBM ASC or some other side count has many high dollar benefits. Consider an ace rich or poor at index or above when considering insurance.
I would welcome others to express their thoughts and opinions in this interesting topic.
Dr. Freightman
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