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Originally Posted by
21forme
YOur trip roll has to be large enough for the games you expect to encounter and assume worst case scenario. You know what types of games you might encounter from previous trips or CBJN. For example, in Vegas expect to see 8D H17 games with 2 decks cut off at worst (you won't play games worse than that). OTOH, you expect NOT to see SD S17 3:2 dealt until the cards run out
So what I would do is run a sim in advance for that worst case scenario game, knowing my top bet and roughly how many hours/day I usually play. You have to make SOME assumptions, but still go with the math the best you can.
You've been to Vegas 20+ times, based on your trip posts. Isn't it a little late to ask this question? Also, in your case, you have to decide if you are going to "preserve the win" or put the hours in.
I think Wave is saying that "preserving your win" doesn't affect your overall long-term ROR. I would agree.
But if you are are on a trip, most people try to play as many hours as possible...whether they are ahead or behind. I mean isn't that why you took the trip? Try to maximize your EV by playing as much as possible.
But others like Zee go into preserve the win mode whenever they get ahead because it makes them happier to go home with a winning trip.
To each their own I guess. But when I go through the trouble and expenses of taking a trip...then I play as much as I can in order to maximize the trip and EV. I separate my BJ trips from my real vacations.
Sometimes variance smiles on you right at the end of the trip, and you win like crazy.
When you "preserve the win" you are just throwing away EV. But some people don't mind or care.
Ok actually I do think "preserving your win" on trips does increase your overall long-term ROR. You are taking expensive trips but playing fewer hours than you should.
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