"Preserving The Win"

[AngryCounter]

My “preserving a win” is the value I give to feeling good for the next 24 hours, of feeling good the rest of my trip, while returning my rental car, about 4 hours of waiting at airport, the 3+ hour in the air, the shuttle to my car, drive home and feeling good when family greets me.

Thus, to me “preserving the win” is simply paying a price (possible additional dollars) for the certainty of feeling good all the way home.

My thoughts exactly. I employ this in my Vegas visits. If I’m ahead like even as little as 10 units 24 prior to leaving, I stop. Out of a weekend that’s 1/3 of the trip... roughly 6-8 hours of play I miss out on so I can be happy knowing I won until I go back to Vegas next month... makes me feel the trip wasn’t a waste. I only do this since the exchange rate compared to my local currency makes a loss in USD very undesirable, even despite the fact my bankroll supports the same spread in USD and my local currency.

I personally lean more towards optimal play than a recreational counting. I’m fully aware over time the opportunity cost is huge, so I’d call this “psyche management” . This comes after the 2 times I’ve lost 50+ units in one shoe right before my weekend trip to my local casino and the awful feeling for the whole week afterwards before I go back. It would cause me too much emotional stress to have that feeling for long.

On the other hand. I agree with Don that Wave’s math is rubbish, you can’t predict the end of an upswing. However, I do try to hit my rated shop at Vegas after a 30+ betting units win unrated elsewhere. That along with heavy ratholing has worked well to keep my loser record. The later is as much as I “gamble”.

[Wave]

On the other hand. I agree with Don that Wave’s math is rubbish, you can’t predict the end of an upswing.

Sim results using 10B hands played with the CV Data simulator is rubbish? You might not like the results, but take it up with Norm, it's his software.