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  1. #14
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    No, not backtrack, clarification.

    I do limit trips to 10 shoes because the number of hands played on a trip DOES reduce ROR. I use trip goals ("preserving the win") at one casino because I am milking it.

    It amazes me that despite employing ODPs and/or Kelly criterion and ROR for total BR...BECAUSE WE WANT TO MITIGATE RISK...the same principles are not employed by many APs when it comes to TR...DESPITE HAVING THE TOOLS READILY AVAILABLE TO DO SO! Failing to mitigate risk with a TR when the resources to do so are readily available is worse than stupid...it is reckless. Is your TR simply disposable and something which you are willing to sacrifice regardless of risk? Is TR number of units the only way to mitigate ROR for your TR? Of course it is not, but it IS YOUR money, do with it what you wish and play as you like.

    Just because I choose to prioritize mitigating TR ROR over 100% optimal play, and do it differently than you do, does not mean I am any less of a player than you are, it simply means I refuse to accept the same level of risk you do with my TR. And guess what...if you don't go to max bet the second you have the advantage, then you are doing EXACTLY the same thing I am...MITIGATING RISK!!!

    How many TRs have you lost in your career, possibly needlessly, because you prioritized optimal play above minimizing risk? I have lost more than one, but then realized I was not applying all the tools available to me to mitigate risk to a TR. To say you can eliminate all risk by not playing is a false comparison because the desire to mitigate risk to an acceptable level is not the equivalent of refusing to accept any risk. So, yes, knowing when to stop playing, either by measuring number of hands played, or number of units won, or both, is of value...if you are smart enough to recognize it. If you are not, then maybe you are more of a gambler than you think you are.

    @Don and Norm, with all due respect, or anyone else critical of my philosophy, when you bankroll me, I'll play 100 percent optimally. But until that day, which will never come, I will mitigate risk for my TR in the manner I find acceptable, not according to what anyone else finds acceptable.
    Last edited by Wave; 01-04-2020 at 12:28 AM.

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