Nice BJ opening in the beginning of 2020, +$35 total bet $250

[BJcountingmaster]

Today I went to a local casino

Low limit table were all full, So I picked $15 min table H17 6 deck cutoff 1.5 deck


I was still trying to keep $10 -$100 spread. Modified it to be TC<=2 Bet $15, TC=3 bet $20,... TC>=11 bet $100

Wong-in after RC=13 & 1.5 deck in discard tray TC slightly less than 3

First Bet $20, got 4,7 vs 6; Doubled and won

then after several rounds I was up $55

However lost my final bet of $20 and shoe end with +$35

Total amount of bet : $250

Hided $100, appear to be -$65 loss

Pretty good start for the 2020.

[ZeeBabar]

If you are going to keep your max bet at $100 on a $15 table, you should be betting $100 at TC of +4 and above. Have you Looked up optimal betting for your game?

[BJcountingmaster]

How about TC = 5 , 6, 7, 8, ...?

Even with 10k bank roll, the Kelly criterion give me much higher betting.

BTW if I bet $15 for TC<=2, $50 for TC=3, $100 for TC=4, $150 for TC=5, ..., $500 for TC>=11 then I can win $165 for this shoe. (only played 10 minutes)

If you are going to keep your max bet at $100 on a $15 table, you should be betting $100 at TC of +4 and above. Have you Looked up optimal betting for your game?

[ZeeBabar]

How about TC = 5 , 6, 7, 8, ...?

Even with 10k bank roll, the Kelly criterion give me much higher betting.

BTW if I bet $15 for TC<=2, $50 for TC=3, $100 for TC=4, $150 for TC=5, ..., $500 for TC>=11 then I can win $165 for this shoe. (only played 10 minutes)

You will win more but at some point, your spread will become noticed and lead to back offs.

[DSchles]

Pretty good start for the 2020.

Looking forward to your telling us about every hand you play for the balance of the year.

Don

[BJGenius007]

Today I went to a local casino

Low limit table were all full, So I picked $15 min table H17 6 deck cutoff 1.5 deck


I was still trying to keep $10 -$100 spread. Modified it to be TC<=2 Bet $15, TC=3 bet $20,... TC>=11 bet $100

Wong-in after RC=13 & 1.5 deck in discard tray TC slightly less than 3

First Bet $20, got 4,7 vs 6; Doubled and won

then after several rounds I was up $55

However lost my final bet of $20 and shoe end with +$35

Total amount of bet : $250

Hided $100, appear to be -$65 loss

Pretty good start for the 2020.

You really don't sound like a BJ master to me. These days, I have my max bet out at TC +3 or +4.

[BJcountingmaster]

This is why I am not maxbet out at TC+3 or +4. Moreover, there are many Casinos 6 decks cutoff only 0.8 deck, which is easy to achieve TC =5 ,6 , 7, 8,...,12

Bet	TC	adv	Risk @ 80% CL	Rds 80%	Risk @ 90% CL	Rds 90%	Risk @ 95% CL	Rds 95%
10	2	0.005	-352.76	1764	-819.2	4096	-1361.2	6806
20	3	0.01	-352.648	441	-818.8	1024	-1360.68	1701
30	4	0.015	-352.482	196	-818.4	455	-1360.2	756
40	5	0.02	-352.232	110	-817.6	255	-1359.2	420
50	6	0.025	-351.915	70	-817.2	163	-1357.8	270
60	7	0.03	-351.528	49	-816.24	113	-1356	188
70	8	0.035	-351.064	36	-815.22	83	-1355.2	138
80	9	0.04	-350.5		-814.2		-1352	106
90	10	0.045	-350		-813		-1350	83
100	11+	0.05	-349		-812		-1348	67
110	12	0.055					-1344.2	56

Times 120% for the splitting and doubling for risk adjustment. No need to adjust the rounds of max risk. The rounds of break even is approximately 5 times the rounds of max risk.

You really don't sound like a BJ master to me. These days, I have my max bet out at TC +3 or +4.

[BJcountingmaster]

@ higher TC, e.g. TC =5 ,6 , 7, 8,...,12 , you will enjoy much lower risk and less variation. Why not max out @ TC >=11?

[Midwest Player]

@ higher TC, e.g. TC =5 ,6 , 7, 8,...,12 , you will enjoy much lower risk and less variation. Why not max out @ TC >=11?

TC 11 happens so seldom you don't have many chances to get out that max bet. Since it happens so seldom your playing session win or loss is often determined if you win or lose that bet. Why don't you buy CVCX software.

[21forme]

Looking forward to your telling us about every hand you play for the balance of the year.

Don

As the "master" seems pretty clueless, I would like to state the obvious that Don's comment was sarcasm.

I still waiting for his thread proving that 1+1 doesn't equal 2.

[ZeeBabar]

As the "master" seems pretty clueless, I would like to state the obvious that Don's comment was sarcasm.

I still waiting for his thread proving that 1+1 doesn't equal 2.

BJCountingmaster, on this forum, should use a name like “BJCountingintern” or?

[21forme]

BJCountingmaster, on this forum, should use a name like “BJCountingintern” or?

As he has destroyed his clean slate as a new poster, he should just stop posting, create a new handle, and return without his reinvention of the wheel threads.

[BJcountingmaster]

Reference to Colin Jones' The 21th Century Card Counter page 119-125 and John Bukofsky's BlackJack play like Pros page114

spread betting of 1-12 or 1-10 or even 1-24!