Who is right about coupons? Shackleford vs Grosjean?
I respect both of these guys tremendously, but they disagree on a very important action I need to make:
I have $22,000 in coupon chips to use over the next year, but the 2 odds experts I found, Shackelford "Wizard of Odds" and Grosjean disagree on coupons.
I get three types (terminology consistent with Shackleford & Grosjean):
*Note: All coupons are restricted to even money bets (with BJ being only exception)
Coupon A:
1 $30 "Match Play*" coupon per day
Coupon B:
1 $20 "Promotional Chip" or "Funny Chips" per day.
Coupon C:
1 $10 "Non-negotiable" chip per day
Shackelford's analysis is found here:
https://wizardofodds.com/gambling/promotional-chips/
Note: Shackelford mentions Grosjean, and he states their disagreement at the end. However, he says himself he does not know who is right.
Grosjean's analysis is found here:
http://www.blackjackforumonline.com/...ouponsbjfo.pdf
At $22,000/year in coupons I want to play these efficiently.
**This is a big difference,' Shackleford rates Match Play chips on BJ at 46% (even less than baccarat!) of face value while Grosjean rates them at 51.9%.**
They both agree on Promotional chips and non-chashable chips that BJ is the best bet.
The BJ games offered:
Game 1: CSM, H17, LS, DAS, RSA, RS4, BJ 3:2 (-0.37 adv), $10/min
Game 2: 8dShoe 5dPen, S17, LS, DAS, RSA, RS4, (-0.56 adv), $30/min
Additionally, there is a final twist in this puzzle. This is an Asian casino. All the accusations online of cheating, I actually also suspect is a likely possibility in BJ. This is based on counting 100s of hours of observations and counting (seeing a lot of high RC counts, Aces often grouped suspiciously with table full of low cards).
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