Perhaps you don't understand true counting. KO is a running count system. But to true count it, as you have been saying, you need to use deck estimates just like every other TC system or assume the number of sevens removed is equal to the number of sevens you would expect to be removed for the current number of decks remaining. Your chart shows KO error as though you aren't true counting it one way or the other, but some hybrid which can't be the case.
Perhaps the best way to illustrate my point is to look at UBTC of zero (equal to the imbalance per deck in an unbalanced system) for KO and RC of 0 for Hilo. Hilo RC of 0 has a TC of exactly 0, no math involved, and is always 100% accurate. A RC that would have exactly UBTC of -4 for KO (-4 times the number of decks unseen) is only accurate if the number of sevens removed is equal to the number of quarter decks seen.
So basically you have Hilo which allows the skill of deck estimation to determine accuracy versus KO which has how close the number of sevens removed are to what is expected determine accuracy. I think most would prefer their skill determine accuracy rather than random chance determine accuracy. Your chart makes no attempt to factor in where KO's inaccuracy comes from concerning decks remaining. You assume KO is 100% accurate at the UBTC pivot point. This is wrong. It is only correct if the number of sevens removed equals the number of sevens expected to be removed at that point in the shoe. So basically that chart is fallacious and worthless for making any point about accuracy.
Basically all your research is based on false assumptions. What you have is a place to start investigation based on a lot of assumptions that are known not to be accurate but are used as a starting point for investigation. You act like you are at the point where investigation is complete and conclusions can be based on all the assumptions that are known to be somewhat accurate approximations to start with. These assumptions are the starting point for investigation not the end of investigation. Since BJ is non-linear you need to sim to make any conclusion with any acceptable degree of accuracy. Tables, charts, and graphs based on approximations can't be relied on and are certainly not accurate.
Bookmarks