So what I asked Gronbog if he could do one more simulation by adding a second side count, 5m6c, to HL with AA78mTc. The reason I chose 5m6c is that if helps with hard 16 v T hit/stand decision (the most important decision after insurance), many other decisions and also helps with betting.
Gronbog did not use LS. So using EoR without NO LS (also included as an attached file) and DAS, S17, it turns out that HO - 2*(Adef) has a higher BC (Betting Correlation).
Betting Correlation (BC) for S17, DAS, no LS
HO2 –2*(Adef) 98.45%
HL +(1/3)*(5m6c) 97.38%
HL 96.48%
By adding (1/3)*(5m6c) to HL to get brc = HL + (1/3)*(5m6c) the HL BC(Betting Correlation) is increased around 1% which puts it closer to HO2 – 2*(Adef) but is still1% below HO2 – 2*(Adef).
So adding 5m6c not only helps with hard 16 v T and many other I18 situations, it also helps with betting which is another reason that HO2 with ASC beat HL with AA78mTc as AA78mTc did not add anything to HL betting correlation.
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