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Thread: Adding AA78mTc side count to High Low

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  1. #1


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    "But it turns out that if a count has a higher average CC it does not necessarily mean that the sim results of that count will be higher."

    No, really?? Shocker!!

    Don


  2. #2


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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    "But it turns out that if a count has a higher average CC it does not necessarily mean that the sim results of that count will be higher."

    No, really?? Shocker!!

    Don


    I have to admit that you were correct about average CC and sim results. You have to analyze each CC for each situation individually as an average, especially a straight average, can be misleading.

    Attached is a chart for each of the 118 for HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) with HO2 with ASC SORTED by CHANGE in CC.

    Now the CC of each of the I18 can be directly compared.

    If HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) beat HO2 with ASC for every single I18, then the conclusion would be that HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) beats HO2 with ASC.

    The results are that HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) beats HO2 with ASC, as measured by INDIVIDUAL CC, in 14 of the I18, ties once and losses 3 times. The maximum win is 17.2% and the maximum loss is 11.5%. Also note a resounding 16.9% CC increase over HO2 with ASC for the very important hard 16 v T hit/stand. All losses are shown in red.

    Gronbog agreed to do sims of HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) and let's see what happens.

    If the simulation results turn out to favorable for HL + k18(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) then I can go into more detail on how to use these side counts. With a little practice, it is really very easy to do.


    Last edited by bjanalyst; 01-22-2019 at 07:23 AM.

  3. #3


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    May I ask what CC is?

  4. #4


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    Quote Originally Posted by BJGenius007 View Post
    May I ask what CC is?

    Sorry for using acronyms that some people may not know. CC = Correlation Coefficent between the tag values of the (derived) count and the EoR (Effects of Removal).

    Attached is CC for hit/stand hard 16 v T for HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) compared to HO2 + k*(Adef). CC of HL + 0.5*(AA78mTc) + 3*(5m6c) is 94.3% and CC of HO2 + Adef is 77.4%.

    So it should be clear that for the all important hard 16 v T,
    HL + 0.5*(AA78mTc) + 3*(5m6c) beats HO2 + Adef

    And as I showed in a previous chart
    CC of HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) beats CC of HO2 + k*(Adef) in 14 of the I18, ties for one and loses for 3.

    Last edited by bjanalyst; 01-22-2019 at 08:45 AM.

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