Originally Posted by
DSchles
"But it turns out that if a count has a higher average CC it does not necessarily mean that the sim results of that count will be higher."
No, really?? Shocker!!
Don
I have to admit that you were correct about average CC and sim results. You have to analyze each CC for each situation individually as an average, especially a straight average, can be misleading.
Attached is a chart for each of the 118 for HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) with HO2 with ASC SORTED by CHANGE in CC.
Now the CC of each of the I18 can be directly compared.
If HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) beat HO2 with ASC for every single I18, then the conclusion would be that HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) beats HO2 with ASC.
The results are that HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) beats HO2 with ASC, as measured by INDIVIDUAL CC, in 14 of the I18, ties once and losses 3 times. The maximum win is 17.2% and the maximum loss is 11.5%. Also note a resounding 16.9% CC increase over HO2 with ASC for the very important hard 16 v T hit/stand. All losses are shown in red.
Gronbog agreed to do sims of HL + k1*(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) and let's see what happens.
If the simulation results turn out to favorable for HL + k18(AA78mTc) + k2*(5m6c) then I can go into more detail on how to use these side counts. With a little practice, it is really very easy to do.
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