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Aleister Crowley
Yeah all my assumptions are incorrect BUT my results(for the same sidebets) are same as what calculated by Eliot Jacobson, the only difference is I am using RC while he is using TC method.
Are you saying that Eliot Jacobson calculated wrongly as well ? That was just sour grapes.
Below are a real sidebet that available at my local casino with average player edge of 7.34%( much > 4.02% !):-
A) BACCARAT SIDEBET
1) Sidebet : SUPER 6
2) 8 deck(play until last 14 cards)
3) Betting limits : min 10 - max 500
4) House edge = -5.50956%
5) Game Rules :-
a) When BANKER wins with 3 cards total 6 points, example P(3,T,K) vs B(T,2,4), 1 pay 20(net win).
b) When BANKER wins with 2 cards total 6 points, example P(2,T,K) vs B(9,7), 1 pay 15(net win).
c) ALL other outcomes, loss 1 unit
B)MY strategy :-
1) *Simple unbalanced Counting system(Ace to T) : 0,0,0,0,0,-2,+1,+1,+1,0
2) Flat Bet **1 unit when RC >= 30
* I am using more complex system in actual play.
** I am using bet spread from 1 unit to 30 units in actual play.
C)Simulation results(based on above simple unbalanced counting system and flat bet 1 unit) :-
1) EV/shoe(unit)= 0.601
2) Average player edge = +7.34%
3) Variance = 18.01
4) Bet frequency/shoe = 8.19 hands
5) 5 million shoes
PROVE ME WRONG IF YOU(or you can get other experts to do it for you !) CAN ! See below image.
super6.jpg
Last edited by James989; 01-01-2019 at 11:25 PM.
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