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ZeeBabar, if you pick apart 7,7vs8 with a microscope, you can demonstrate an index to hit, to split, to surrender, involving a complexity beyond what you might want to attempt to take on, particularly given the minimal gains of doing so. You picked a hand that in addition to the infrequency of the hand, the EV between hitting and splitting can be as little as .000011, and in a reasonably large patch of all possible decisions it is a similarly tiny fraction. I could show you the chart, the exact key card values, the exact indices for all possible decisions, but this hand probably shouldn't be all that high on your list of priorities. This hand is a shining example, possibly the most extreme example, of what DonS has pointed out on "pain vs. gain". An elaborate, complex count, even something that allows for perfect or near perfect play on this hand affords little actual gain. I might have demonstrated how I look at this hand in the card counting plus forum, it was either this one or 4,4vs6, I could go hog wild and break it down for you, but I question if that's beneficial to you one way or the other, since it's beyond what you might want to bother with for such an inconsequential hand.
If I were to explain this hand in some simplistic enough way that you could work into your play using Hi-Lo or whatever count you use, I would tell you to pay attention to the key cards (4), (6), and (7). Think of (4) as pushing you in the direction to split, and (6,7) pushing you in the direction to hit. You are playing a DD game, there is 1 deck remaining and:
- No (4) have been removed from the deck/numerous (6,7) have been removed from the deck, more than eight, SPLIT
- Lots of (4) have been removed from the deck, more than four/ limited or minimal (6,7) have been removed from the deck, HIT
I have a chart for this hand that points out exact departure points based on an even distribution within card groupings. There's even a surrender index for this hand if you want to go truly hardcore. An uneven distribution within these grouping, specifically surplus or deficit of (4,6,7) beyond the mean have an impact, as their values are considerably more than the {T}, and potentially move the line of demarcation for the index from where it sits in an even distribution of the grouping the key cards are located in. You can think of the (4) as having three times the impact of the {T}, you can think of the (6) and (7) as having twice the impact of the {T}.
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