Mistakes made

[Freightman]

On another thread, Spikej advised someone to review their play and many here talk about reviewing play after losing streaks, sessions and such. It led me to thinking of plays that deviations call for and the percentage of plays where I do make the play and where I fail to make the correct play for reasons of heat, presence of big bettors, my 3rd base position, ploppy concerns, looking the idiot if play fails, etc. I share these below and perhaps hearing from you might give me the cojones to do it.

Splitting tens - Never did it

Doubling A,8 - probably only did it 3% of the time when playing heads up.

Doubling A'7 - probably 50%, mostly on dealer 5,6.

Doubling A,5 and A,6 against 2 - probably only 40% of time it was called for.

6,2 and 5'3 against 5,6 - only 25% of the time it was called for.

Despite the above failures, I seem to have done OK in DD games but as I move to more 6 Deck play (H17, standard rules 1.2-1.4 cut off), I am thinking I need to do the deviations without hesitation (except splitting 10's).

I think newbies might be prone to the same issues.

I am kind of sick and tired of a lot of bullshit - from you biting the hand that feeds - and from what I see as manufactured q & a's from others, essentially as a set up for the long posts. I had promised myself that I wouldn't bother with you anymore, however, for ploppies sake, I think I had better set the record straight.

Splitting 10's, either you do or don't. Issues of heat here. I would seriously recommend that you not, as a recent post if yours suggests that your true count conversion is seriously suspect.

Doubling A8. You don't need to be greedy, and besides, you specifically don't want to put up with ploppy rebellion.

Doubling A7 v 5 or 6. Let's see, you double 50% of the time? Let's see. You will make more if you hit, and make even more if you double. Are you out if your mind? You know what the right play is - do it.

Doubling a5 v2 49% of the time - when are you going to learn fuckng basic?
Doubling a6 v2 - absolute hit, the double is optional depending on your views on risk aversion. Fir you, just hit. I'm sure you don't know the index.

6,2 and 5,3 v 5 or 6. 25% of the time. I employ a risk averse strategy here, mostly fir cover purposes. Since you panic at the first site of money, hit most of the time. Wait till true 3 to double 8v6 (not 44) v 6 and true 5 v 5, as long as game us das. Gives you the cover that you want and captures most if the EV.

Regarding your last sentence - yes - you need to grow a set.

For the next while, I'm going to simply observe, commenting only on what interests me, watching with interest as events unfold. I was especially humoured by Don commenting on 3, and 3 justifying, threatening long posts. Seems to me I called that one.