3, it's easy enough to figure out what it is you're talking around when you talk around it enough. Long-windedness only keeps those with short attention spans from figuring out what you mean. Not all you speak of is so thinly veiled, but once enough posts are read the puzzle pieces fit together even on your more heavily cloaked ideas.
Agree 100%. There is an excellent thread currently active on blackjackinfo.com about selecting a count for newbies. It seems that every thread here by a couple of posters is aimed at putting down HiLo players. When evidence is presented everywhere that in today's game the gain by using a higher count is really not much, you are drowned by graphs that show a significant difference in extreme counts that occur an insignificant amount of time or assumptions that HiLo will get you caught and backed off. This despite the fact that a majority of successful counters use HiLo or other one level counts. Some of us are now succeeding playing HiLo, many while even playing with a players card.
I started playing with a $15k BR, still around 200 hours a year and despite learning through many many initial mistakes (not doubling on A7 or splitting 9's against a 9 and many correct risk averse plays), after roughly 600 hours, my BR crossed $50k three days ago. This despite earning zero in year 2. $19k, Zero, $31k over the past 3 years starting August 2014.
Another categorical statement without any validation. The answer continues to be "it depends". How much variance are the errors caused by an inexperienced player? There is no one size fits all guys. And it is not HI OptII ASC or nothing. Open your mind and begin to evaluate what tools you need to do what job and with what level of people.
Luck is nothing more than probability taken personally!
You also wrote the below quote this week:
" I also think there is something to being able to reduce short term session variance with negligible impact on long term ev that makes things like splitting 88, 99 v 10 and A questionable at their simed index."
Do you also side count two's ? If not splitting 99 vs a 10 up is also going to cause a little bit of extra variance. Twenty four post on the board and suddenly we have another expert.
Bookmarks