"The Basic Strategist in the 6 deck game gains 0.70% in e.v."
You meant to write 0.07%! Those decimal places matter!
Don
It's not just the expectation, although I'll gladly take any increase in EV, surrendering is also lower variance. So it is win / win, especially if you can find a nice game with ES 10 or even full ES. ES10 is a phenomenal rule especially for card counters and really accelerates your advantage in the lower true counts.
To further explain for beginners Meistro's123 great post:
Just by having the surrender option available to you enables you to slightly increase " bankroll dependent" your top bet, and subsequently your spread at the same time without adding all, of the extra volatility associated with doing this without the option. On average many beginners have bankroll problems so I do not recommend for these players to increase their own minimum bet because of having the late surrender option. An example why bet $15 as your basic bet if you are at a $10 table? You are now thinking doing this change means very little, you would be WRONG big time, because it is the lower minimum bet that enables you to reach the higher spread which adds more to your EV.
First, using some kind of voodoo intuition to alter known correct strategies disqualifies them as card counters. You either learn the correct plays, believe them and use them or you don't.
You spoke to some gamblers who, apparently, do not understand that losing less is the same as winning long term in blackjack.
Luck is nothing more than probability taken personally!
This is why I said you need to read a book!
Learn basic strategy cold. Master your counting system. Learn the indices. Do whatever the chart says at the given count. Bet according to a well defined ramp that preferably (IMO) comes from CVCX. Don't deviate for any reason.
You are back on step one. You need to learn some basics before you can continue.
The surrender option is a very valuable option and you personally ONLY want to use it when the true count is higher than +3 and your concern is making a costly misplay, let me tell you your game is one big misplay. Under your idea you would not even use the fab4 when the plays are called for, or striking point. Good you are concerned about a costly misplay, but what you need to understand is that you "depending on playing time" would be making thousands of errors that are costing you plenty. Please buy a book and learn the game at home, without it costing you anything.
Last edited by BoSox; 06-22-2017 at 04:39 AM.
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