Quote Originally Posted by Freightman View Post
I was leaning more to deviating from index than simple plus minus index play. I18 will improve results over basic, but will not maximize results - but you know that already.
I think we are saying the same thing. Look at 16 v. 10. Using Hi/Lo, playing error rates for TC [-3,+3] which constitute 71% of all count range are as follows:

-3 32.2%
-2 40.4%
-1 49.3%
0 41.5%
1 33.2%
2 25.2%
3 18.5%

Weighted error: 35.3%

Using a sidecount of 5s, in which TC is TC + (5TC)x4, error rates for TC [-6,+6] which constitute 72% of all count range are as follows:

-6 20.1%
-5 25.3%
-4 31.4%
-3 39.0%
-2 46.0%
-1 46.7%
0 39.9%
1 32.9%
2 27.0%
3 21.0%
4 15.5%
5 11.7%
6 8.8%

Weighted error: 29.6%

So, you can get a 6% playing edge improvement in this example.