Just a question to ponder and looking for the benefit of experienced players.
I sometimes look for certain conditions in order to not bet the full percentage of my ramp, which is 25 min, 50 TC1, 100 TC2 and 200 TC3 and 250 TC4 and Up. I live in an area with about 5 casinos within an hour and a half and AC about 2.5 hours away (but also generally has less advantageous penn and rules while closer casinos have much better conditions). Its critical to me to keep these casonos friendly.
So for examples:
Ive been betting min for almost an entire shoe, wtih about 2 rounds left to go. I'm down $300 for the session. The count skyrockets to plus four because two players had long chains of low cards. I could take the last two hands at max bet of two hands of $250 but if I lose or break even I'm done for that session because I only show my high max bet once or really even my TC3 bet if possible before I end at shuffle and at least change pit or grab something to eat. This leaves me going home with nothing or significantly down. I'd rather play those two rounds at $150 so I can look for a run of high counts with more penetration left in the shoe, so that I can have some rounds to recover if I lose the first two hands and think I will generally get more high counts in per session if I look for the right circumstances to go to my max.
Second circumstance. I'm up 1000, counts up to +4, four decks left to play. Once again, I am not walking away with a break even which two loosing rounds could give me. I go to 100 bet and If I win, incrementally increase bet but I never risk going below $700 (unless its a double or split scenario and the right thing to do). This means my bets for a couple of rounds aren't following the count and since winning might attract surveillance, I think it might be a good idea. Once I'm past $1300, I go back to full max bet but always keep an eye to make sure I'm not risking leving empty handed.
Generally, I'm not looking to take more than $700 to $1000 out of session, although if I reduce my bet and win then go back to max after a couple of hands, sure I'm happy to walk with 2 or 3 thousand bucks but then will have to avoid that casino for a while. If it has good rules penn and is close, I'm going to miss it.
Do any of the "real" advantage players take these types of things into account when betting?
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