"The Secret Monkey Count" with an aggressive spread will "get the money" particularly in a H17 game.
The E.O.R. For the Ace is considerably reduced in the H17 game when compared to the S17 game.
While it may sound "out of character" coming from me, the utter simplicity of this count makes it very
well suited to Span21 because the complexity of Spanish21 is far greater than nearly everyone thinks it is.
I will give a few examples to illustrate the complexity:
You hold a HARD 17 and the dealer flips up an Ace.
This is the ONLY hand matchup that a Basic Strategist surrenders.
It is the worst possible hand matchup in this game !!
With a TC of +2 or above I stand
With a TC of -2 or less I hit
With a TC of between these extremes [-1 to +1] I surrender.
Got a pair of 9's when the dealer shows an Ace? I split unless Aces are in deficit.
Insurance? I very very rarely take it -- as my Index for this is over +12 !
You get a hand of 15 [7 and 8 of Spades]. The dealer shows a 6 - you hit.
You have a 6 card 17 and the dealer shows a HIGH card. - you hit.
You have doubled and your hand becomes a stiff. Dealer shows a 7. Do you rescue ? Only against an Ace.
To get to that point you originally had 11. Not a good Risk Averse move.
You have a pair of 4's and the dealer is stiff. Do you split? No! Do you double? No!
You have a 3 card 11 and you are facing a 9. Do you double? No.
EDIT: Corrected TYPO to read:
You hold a HARD 17 and the dealer flips up an Ace.
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