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Every bet you place at a disadvantage comes with -EV (Expected Value....how much you expect to win/lose [on average]).
EV is additive.
Let's say you play $100/hand in BJ with a 0.5% house edge. Every bet you make, you expect to lose $0.50.
After 100 hands, you expect to lose $50.
If you play $50/hand half the time and $100/hand the other half the time (500 hands total) with a 0.5% HE....you expect to lose:
250 * 50 * 0.5 + 250 * 100 * 0.5 = 187.50
Can you add up a bunch of negative numbers to get a positive number?
Unless you know when you have an advantage (card counting or other source of figuring out when you have an advantage)....every bet you're making is at a disadvantage.
You don't need to "get to the long term" to ensure a win/loss.
Card counters aren't in the long term and they're making money. Gamblers aren't in the long term and they're losing money.
If you're using a system, be aware, just because it works most of the time, doesn't mean you'll end up a winner. You don't know if that big loss streak is going to occur on hand #1,000,000 or if it's going to happen on hand #20. [And no, it's not a 1 in a million chance your system will fail.....the odds of failure are much more likely.]
"Everyone wants to be rich, but nobody wants to work for it." -Ryan Howard [The Office]
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