Jags +10 vs Philly - Philly tends to get overrated. Giving them +10 this early in the season is a little too much.
Bengals -1 vs Balt - Bengals are still probably the best team in that division.
Texans -3 vs Wash - RG3 hasn't shown much, Texans D might be back on track?
KC - 3 vs Ten - KC sputtered a bit at the end, but its still Tennessee.
NE -3.5 vs Mia - In previous years NE would be at -10 or more (which is giving NE too many points vs a division rival early in the year) but probably when too far to the other side this year.
Colts +7.5 vs Broncos - Luck can keep it close in a shootout vs Broncos D. Should be at least sniffing within a TD.
NYG +6.5 vs Lions - My Giants O sucks, but still, love picking against the oft overrated Lions.