Not correct.
Assuming 6 decks and an initial running count of 0.
A RC of 24 gives you essentially the same advantage and accurate index numbers anywhere in the shoe, a TC of +4.
To calculate the true count take the RC, subtract 4 for each deck played (the unbalance built into KO), and divide by the number of decks unseen.
1 deck in, when the RC 15, the TC is 2.2 (15-4)/5 ; this is too early for max bet unless the max bet is being dictated by low table max and not your bankroll. If you are pushing out your max at this point then you are over betting your BR.
On an H17 game your edge at this point is less than 1%.
Edit... just noticed that I may have misread what you wrote. If you meant that from the +9 RC point at 1 deck in, you need to wait for the RC to increase by an additional 15 (+24 total RC) then you are correct, and you can ignore the above. If, however, you meant that at 1 deck in you would push out your max be at a +15 RC then that's incorrect.
Not correct. TC = RC only with 1 deck left to go (after adjusting for the unbalance).
For example:
2 decks in (4 decks to go) a RC of 28 = (28-8)/4 = TC 5;
5 decks in (1 deck to go) a RC of 28 = (28-20)/1 = TC 8;
5 decks in (1 deck to go) a RC of 25 = (25-20)/1 = TC 5;
Again, at 24 you're at +4 TC anywhere in the shoe. With 1 deck left to go, RC = TC after offset, so with 1 deck to go, a RC or 23 = TC+3, a RC of 31 = TC +11, and a RC 16 = TC -4.
With more than 1 deck to go, the TCs are compressed towards the +4.
I'll try to post an Excel worksheet that will give you a better visual of KO TCs at various depths and RCs.
Most important though, if you don't want to push out your max bet until a +4 TC, then don't push it out until +24 RC on a 6 deck shoe, regardless of how many decks are un-dealt.
A RC <24 will always have a TC <4 on a 6 deck shoe, regardless of depth; a RC >24 will always have a TC >4 in a 6 deck shoe, regardless of depth.
Can't figure out how to attach an Excel file. Here's a pic of the relevant info. Also included the warm line in light green and the hot area in dark green.
TKO - Copy.jpg
Bookmarks