So I should win 60% of the time and lose/push 40%. Does that sound correct?
You cannot derive percentages of wins and losses from EVs. Sometimes you will win or lose one unit, sometimes two, on occasion more. For 99v7, BS, SD, H17, no DAS, you will win about 73% and lose 27% of the time excluding pushes.
"I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse
Why when you have 9,9 and dealer shows 7 you do not split? But you do split when dealer shows 2,3,4,5,6,8,9.
Splitting 9s vs 7 yields the highest expected return on that decision. If you do split the 9s, now you have two hands of 9vs7 and that is not the best of it.
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