Hey everyone. I'm a new counter. Please forgive me if I'm posting in the wrong place or if I'm oblivious and ignorant to the whole counting ordeal. I'm not a mathematician nor have any advanced math other than calculus in college which I totally forgot. I'm looking for flaws in my elementary system. At the moment, the standard hi/low counting system is a bit sophisticated for me so I'm not using it.
I've been counting just 10s (10,J,Q,K). Depending on how many 10s are left (6 decks) towards the end of the shoot within 3 decks range and 2 decks out of the 3 are unplayable, I would bet higher - 4-8x minimum when my count is there are 60 or more 10s left in the remaining 120-150 cards. This leaves me with 0.50+ chance of expecting a 10 on draw and allows me to hit/double/split/stand accordingly. The rest before it I use basic strategy.
I know I'll be judged on my unconventional / unproven system. But I was hoping you guys can point out the flaws of this system and how it can be destructive in the long run.
The reason why I ask is because I've had some luck, whether it is dumbfound luck, perhaps. I've played 3 separate sessions at different casinos. Table rules at these casinos were 3:2, 8 decks(cut 2 decks) and 2:1, 6 decks(cut 1-2 decks) . Minimum bet was 25. Started with 1000 and walked with 1850. My original funds never fell below 750-800. But if someone can explain to me the dangers/flaws of this system, I would appreciate it.
What are my chances of success to failure?
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