I like S17: Lucky Ladies SD

[I like S17]

I've seen discussions on this side bet on 6 and 8d games but what about SD? Can this be an advantage play? Thanks

[The Mayor]

> I've seen discussions on this side bet on 6 and 8d
> games but what about SD? Can this be an advantage
> play? Thanks

It doesn't make sense for SD -- getting a suited pair is tough.

[SpringWeatherBJ]

> It doesn't make sense for SD -- getting a suited pair
> is tough.

Lucky Ladies on SD has a different payout schedule (instead of paying on matched pairs and you get paid on paired 20's (e.g. 2 Kings)). Even though the company makes this game for SD, I have never seen it.

Galaxy Gaming - Lucky Ladies homepage

[The Mayor]

> Lucky Ladies on SD has a different payout schedule
> (instead of paying on matched pairs and you get paid
> on paired 20's (e.g. 2 Kings)). Even though the
> company makes this game for SD, I have never seen it.

Galaxy Gaming (and Rob Saucier) used to encourage its clients to use the 4-9-19 payouts on the double deck games -- then the Nevada GCB stepped in and forced these clients to use the 4-10-25 payout schedule. That's great for us -- the double-deck version is quite beatable when offered on a game with better than average penetration. This is no secret.

According to the GCB, table games and their side bets can have *at most* a 25% house edge in Nevada. The pay table listed for the single-deck version has a 29%+ house edge, making it illegal in Nevada.

I would be happy to post my results for this *unavailable* and *illegal* game -- using a balanced 10-count system. But it seems more worthwhile to work out how to beat those games that are available.

[Coug Fan]

> According to the GCB, table games and their side bets
> can have *at most* a 25% house edge in Nevada. The pay
> table listed for the single-deck version has a 29%+
> house edge, making it illegal in Nevada.

Is there a simple variation to the pay table that would get them to just under a 25% house edge? Maybe by making the larger payouts slightly higher. This seems like a great opportunity to consult with Galaxy Gaming and benefit AP's at the same time (I'm assuming that the SD version would be beatable).

[The Mayor]

If you could find SD Lucky Ladies, then you can beat it. The following sim assumes two players at the table (you, playing one hand, and one other player). It doesn't actually play blackjack -- it simply deals out three hands (you, the other player, and the dealer), checks the LL results on your hand, then deals out enough cards to statistically make it work out to 2.75 cards per person per round. Here are the result for 50,000,000 hands and a pretty much optimal counting system. Usually the max bet is $25 per hand, so this sim assumes a $25 bet.

 

 

  

 

*******************  

Lucky Ladies Report  

*******************  

 

Number of decks: 1  

number of hands: 50000000  

Penetration: 26 cards.  

Wager per hand: $25 

 

Payoff schedule:   

 

   Any 20:        3-to-1  

   Suited 20:     6-to-1  

   Matched 20:    9-to-1  

   Q pair:       25-to-1  

   Q pair + BJ:  250-to-1  

 

Count system:   

   A: 0  

   2: 1  

   3: 1  

   4: 1  

   5: 1  

   6: 1  

   7: 1  

   8: 1  

   9: 1  

   T: -2  

  

Lucky Lady earnings per 100 rounds (per hour): $28.6679  

Wager is made 7.5739 times per 100 rounds (per hour)  

Earnings per Lucky Lady $25 bet actually placed: $3.78509  

Key True count (make bet at this true count or higher): 8  

 

TC      %EV     FREQ  

<=0     -32.96  33368367  

1       -21.52  3138573  

2       -17.6   2014383  

3       -15.01  2260375  

4       -11.2   1748390  

5       -8.65   1462591  

6       -5.34   1184196  

7       -2      1036161  

8       1.79    905178  

9       6.69    549496  

10      9.25    518384  

11      11.79   390155  

12      18.5    298296  

13      18.7    294029  

14      24.56   208559  

15      28.02   130429  

16      34.19   141097  

17      39.65   79121  

18      43.41   76284  

 

[The Mayor]

This is one of those things that can be simmed to death with all sorts of count systems and table conditions. Until I hear that it offered in the US somewhere (for more than a $25 max), consider this the last sim ... Of course, if you find this heads up with a dealer giving 7 rounds Single Deck, and send me private email, I'll trade you the numbers for the name 8-) Note that you have an average edge of about 16.5% when you do make this bet.

--------------------------------------------------------


*******************
Lucky Ladies Report
*******************
Number of decks: 1
number of hands: 50000000
Penetration: 4 rounds, 2 players

Payoff schedule:

Any 20: 3-to-1
Suited 20: 6-to-1
Matched 20: 9-to-1
Q pair: 25-to-1
Q pair + BJ: 250-to-1

Count system:

A: 0
2: 1
3: 1
4: 1
5: 1
6: 1
7: 1
8: 1
9: 1
T: -2

Lucky Lady earnings per 100 rounds (per hour): $37.4677
Wager is made 9.07629 times per 100 rounds (per hour)
Earnings per Lucky Lady $25 bet actually placed: $4.12808
Key True count (make bet at this count or higher): 8

TC %EV FREQ
<=0 -34.18 32789697
1 -20.85 2848386
2 -19.01 2207646
3 -14.4 2051554
4 -12.38 1911963
5 -8.1 1342688
6 -5.65 1297324
7 -2.79 1012571
8 1.44 988443
9 3.98 597959
10 7.81 609581
11 14.12 417901
12 16.65 337532
13 17.36 356669
14 23.86 271223
15 28.98 181254
16 32.51 174834
17 37.33 113507
18 39.65 122660