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Originally Posted by
falling star
The purpose of the post had nothing to do with progressions. It was intended to show how many hands a counter, with a 1 1/2% advantage, would have to play to show a million $ profit using the average bet levels shown.
falling star
The wizards experiment wasn't about progressions but about showing how betting in proportion to your bankroll with a constant advantage results in almost certain success. The lesson of ROR is made clear when you compare the success rate of of each starting BR at 1% and 2% advantage. Notice how much quicker the mark is made betting proportional to your bankroll. Starting with $100 betting peanuts at a 1% advantage the average 174,972 bets. You are betting independent of your current BR and betting an average of $100 at 1.5% advantage but the average is 666,666.6 bets.
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