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Golgo13: Red 7, Optimal Betting, and Brett Harris
Hi guys!
I came across this post at bjmath.com by Brett Harris (posted 97/08/30, Optimal betting Question?)
(snip)
The optimal spreading strategy can be reasonably summarised as :
1/. If you play all hands, the max bet of M units should be made at a relatively low TC, eg for Hi-Lo about +3, and you Kelly bankroll will be around 1000 units.
2/. If you leave when the shoe goes negative, ie for Hi-Lo whenever the TC hits -1, then you max bet should be a little higher, around Hi-Lo +5 (this seems to be the spread usually recommended by authors), with a Kelly bankroll of around 600 units.
3/. If you back-count and only play high positive counts, then the max bet TC is very high, and the spread tends to be very flat.
(snip)
Ok, the reason I mention this is...
I need an optimal bet spread for the following game:
(the good)
6D, DAS, RSA, Early Surrender, 70% pen. ENHC
(the bad)
Play all required.
(the ugly)
HEAT! (BS players get tossed)
I figure my off the top advantage to be about .22%, if I stand on my soft 18s v 9,10, A and 12v2`s and 3`s, I believe that lowers it too about .15%.
So...Can I max out my bet at pivot (+2TC) with the Red 7 count given this game? What sort of spread would be recommended for this game?
A SCORE would be great!
Thanks!
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