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Thread: Blackarat Optimal Strategy & Effect of Removal

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    Blackarat Optimal Strategy & Effect of Removal

    In "The Theory of Gambling & Statistical Logic" by Richard Epstein, a hybrid of blackjack and baccarat, called "blackarat", was introduced. Blackarat gameplay is superficially similar to blackjack, but hand totals are computed modulo 10 and a pair of 9s is considered a natural for the player (for the dealer, a pair of ten-valued cards). The optimal strategy was calculated by simulations and provided in an appendix, but no further analysis was given.

    Attached below are two papers I wrote on the subject. In the first, I approximated the optimal strategy assuming infinite decks. In the second, I computed the effects of removal to derive a card counting system as well as the betting correlation of said system, bounds on the playing efficiency, and a recommendation for a profitable bet spread.

    https://www.academia.edu/89747870/In...y_in_Blackarat

    https://www.academia.edu/103411586/E...l_in_Blackarat

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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnGalt007 View Post
    In "The Theory of Gambling & Statistical Logic" by Richard Epstein, a hybrid of blackjack and baccarat, called "blackarat", was introduced. Blackarat gameplay is superficially similar to blackjack, but hand totals are computed modulo 10 and a pair of 9s is considered a natural for the player (for the dealer, a pair of ten-valued cards). The optimal strategy was calculated by simulations and provided in an appendix, but no further analysis was given.

    Attached below are two papers I wrote on the subject. In the first, I approximated the optimal strategy assuming infinite decks. In the second, I computed the effects of removal to derive a card counting system as well as the betting correlation of said system, bounds on the playing efficiency, and a recommendation for a profitable bet spread.

    https://www.academia.edu/89747870/In...y_in_Blackarat

    https://www.academia.edu/103411586/E...l_in_Blackarat
    I am unable to locate the game you mentioned in my copy of Epstein's book. It's likely due to the version I have, which might be different from yours.
    I possess a revised edition, but it's somewhat outdated.
    Out of curiosity, could you please tell me where can this game be found? Thank you.

    Sincerely,
    Cac

  3. #3
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    Doesn't exist, at least that know of. Nor the one on the next page of the book (where you'll find my name under the chart). Richard could invent games; but he couldn't sell them. Here's a screenshot of my Blackarat Simulator and CA written for him back in 2008:

    blackarat.jpg
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnGalt007 View Post
    In "The Theory of Gambling & Statistical Logic" by Richard Epstein, a hybrid of blackjack and baccarat, called "blackarat", was introduced. Blackarat gameplay is superficially similar to blackjack, but hand totals are computed modulo 10 and a pair of 9s is considered a natural for the player (for the dealer, a pair of ten-valued cards). The optimal strategy was calculated by simulations and provided in an appendix, but no further analysis was given.

    Attached below are two papers I wrote on the subject. In the first, I approximated the optimal strategy assuming infinite decks. In the second, I computed the effects of removal to derive a card counting system as well as the betting correlation of said system, bounds on the playing efficiency, and a recommendation for a profitable bet spread.

    https://www.academia.edu/89747870/In...y_in_Blackarat

    https://www.academia.edu/103411586/E...l_in_Blackarat
    Such patient. You joined in 2015 and this is your first post.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cacarulo View Post
    I am unable to locate the game you mentioned in my copy of Epstein's book. It's likely due to the version I have, which might be different from yours.
    I possess a revised edition, but it's somewhat outdated.
    Out of curiosity, could you please tell me where can this game be found? Thank you.

    Sincerely,
    Cac
    Thanks for your reply! I'm referring to page 287 of the second edition, published by Academic Press in 2013.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    Doesn't exist, at least that know of. Nor the one on the next page of the book (where you'll find my name under the chart). Richard could invent games; but he couldn't sell them. Here's a screenshot of my Blackarat Simulator and CA written for him back in 2008:

    blackarat.jpg
    Thanks for your response! I admire your work. To be fair, I'd be hard-pressed to sell a game with such a low house edge and is more vulnerable to card counting than ordinary blackjack. I'd have better luck betting on keno.

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    Quote Originally Posted by BJGenius007 View Post
    Such patient. You joined in 2015 and this is your first post.
    Good things take time! Glad to be here!

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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnGalt007 View Post
    Thanks for your reply! I'm referring to page 287 of the second edition, published by Academic Press in 2013.
    Thanks. I have the first revised edition from 1977. Pretty old.

    Sincerely,
    Cac

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    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    Doesn't exist, at least that know of. Nor the one on the next page of the book (where you'll find my name under the chart). Richard could invent games; but he couldn't sell them. Here's a screenshot of my Blackarat Simulator and CA written for him back in 2008:

    blackarat.jpg
    Interesting. What I could find on the web are references to a game called "Twisted 21" alias "21 Stud" alias "2-card War" alias "21 Bet" which was related to "Blackarat".

    Sincerely,
    Cac

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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnGalt007 View Post
    Good things take time! Glad to be here!
    "Better late than never," says the old proverb.

    Cac

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    very interesting, first time I hear about blackarat

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    Senior Member Gramazeka's Avatar
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    Excuse me, who are you?
    "Don't Cast Your Pearls Before Swine" (Jesus)

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    Quote Originally Posted by AaronTahan View Post
    very interesting, first time I hear about blackarat
    Thanks! I thought blackarat was an interesting game when I first heard of it as well.

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