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    Double counting middle cards

    Don made this highly interesting point yesterday before the lights went out.

    He said:
    “When the 9 is counted the wrong way for insurance in Halves, it absolutely makes sense that a side count of intermediates could help. Nor do I dispute the strategy decisions improvement. But I do not take your word for it for improving betting. Of all known modern-day point counts, Halves has always had the highest and closest-to-perfect BE. It makes no sense to me whatsoever that suddenly double counting the 6-9 would improve betting.”

    As you know, I never miss a chance to learn something.

    When Don said I should try Hi-Opt II, I did and I found value in it but it will never be my system of choice.

    When Don pointed BJ Strat to me I did go to BJ Strat.

    When Norm said I should sim instead of focusing only one “once in a quadrillions” deck compositions with BJ Strat, I tried to improve my ability with CV Data.

    I’m still a beginner with CV Data but Norm, I need your honest help here, not vague answers like your last two replies. We expect help and straight answers from you.

    So here it is.

    I did three CV Data sims last night with modified decks after the lights went out and I was surprised with the results considering that I changed deck compositions by only 6 middle cards at once.

    Again, I am not that confident with my ability with CV Data sims but I am asking you, Norm, Don, Cac, or anyone else if those sims make sense and why or why not.

    Those sims, plus BJ Strat, tend to show that with fewer 789s in the deck, there may be value in betting more.

    I am not campaigning here. I am just looking for the truth and insightful answers.


    Using CV Data sims I came up with the following results for
    6D, S17, DAS, 4.5/6 pen, 1-15 spread at or near the 3-deck mark


    They seem to confirm that the fewer 789s the better the SCORE
    (perhaps due to more Blackacks ??)
    please note that with Halves, 7 and 9s would cancel out.

    DECK COMPOSITIONS
    A) Basic HiLo 12-12-12-12-12-12-14-14-14-48 : SCORE = 11.90
    B) Basic HiLo 12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-12-48 : SCORE = 16.83
    C) Basic HiLo 12-12-12-12-12-12-10-10-10-48 : SCORE = 21.16

    EVs with same deck compositions as above according to BJ STRAT

    BASIC STRATEGY BEST STRATEGY
    A) -0.3892 -0,3671
    B) -0.3415 -0.3411
    C) -0.3251 -0.2762

    Your thought anyone…
    Do you get similar results simming modified decks at the 3-deck mark?
    And if I am wrong, don’t blast me. Just explain why.
    With this knowledge through side counting can we modify our betting?
    Last edited by Secretariat; 07-13-2022 at 08:40 AM.

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