When I was first beginning my AP career, the first book I ever read referred to “The Illustrious 18”, authored by some clever, perceptive numbers guy - able to distill a huge amount of information into a usable, simple, “rule of thumb”.
Then I found out he authored a book, which many in the AP community referred to as “The Bible”, I had to have it. It contained a wealth of information, informative, detailed, accurate. I was in mathematical heaven.
What struck me first and foremost was Chapter 1 - “The Hand”. The author had a max bet out on two hands. One of them split and doubled. He ended up losing all of those bets, but came back (eventually) to be far ahead.
That was the day that I decided, “When I play for real, I will always keep two max bets in reserve, so when I face “The Hand” I can go down with dignity and confidence, ready to eventually come back a winner.”
I hope this is a good, useful, “rule of thumb” for all of you APs.
P.s. When I dove into the numbers a little deeper, I realized that most splits (more than 50%) will require an additional bet, either double or split. For example, for TC>=2, 33v6 (the example in the book) will require an additional bet 72% of the time!!!
Bookmarks