Originally Posted by
Freightman
Think I’ll add one last item pertaining to last post. I’ve suggested that I will beat the crap out if sims, though I don’t think I’ve explained it very well - so, I’ll take another stab at it. Perhaps some meatheads can weigh in with their respective thoughts - or if someone else has a relate to question, I’d be pleased to further answer.
I’ll speak in terms of standard ramp. The robotic (competent) counter will bet optimally with the though of EV maximization. Various components of his/her rule set, bankroll, tolerance to risk are fed into the simulation and out spits various optimal ramos based on various spreads. I’ve spoken before of dual ramp, but I think I’ll speak in terms iof single ramp with upper and lower limits per true count based in QTC. Explaining further, a true 3 good QTC will elevate the bet to a poor true 4 QTC, and for that matter, a poor true 3 QTC will degrade to a higher level true 2 bet.
Now unfortunately, I have no real way of determining actual percentage of high v low QtTC hands. I use the following guidelines (gut feel). First, like any off the top bet, I have no way of knowing if I’m in a positive or negative situation situation. Second, with the cut card at 4-5-5.0, I arbrutarilly assign a value of 67% poor QTC and 33% good QTC.
Second, if you can wrap your head around this, a standard sim accounts for the entire bucket as a whole. I do things differently. I’ll take the overall win factor, Multiply 67% by .9 and 33% by 1.1. I leave it to you to calculate effect on on overall EV.
Ladt but not least, while writing this, I notice my 8th unhelpful on this thread, which is pretty much in line with prior threads I get involved in. Thus, I’m persuaded to explain the highest level of meathead - that being the shithead.
A couple of my most ardent admirers, thread after thread will utilize the the tiniest justification to thumbs down. Clearly, these douchebags cannot see the forest for the trees and are unable to propagate any outside the box thoughts for themselves. Probably 2, a maximum of 3. I’d be willing to wager that none of 5hese individuals have provided any thumbs up for my efforts. I know it’s noticeable others - onwards it goes without respite.
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