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  1. #1


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    Calculate EV

    Hello

    Hopefully someone can help me again with the following question.
    I saw at the wizard of odds the following chart.
    https://wizardofodds.com/blackjack/i...-ties-push.gif
    It is when the dealer accidentally exposes his hole card.
    Now I'm wondering if there is a way to calculate the EV of these situations, especially against an Ax?
    I have CVCX, but as far as I know there is no option to do that.
    Normally I use the cdca software to calculate exact EV% but unfortunately there is no option for exposed hole cards.
    So I hope someone can tell me how they got to this chart/which program they used?

    Kind regards

    Joris

  2. #2
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    CVData creates strategies and simulates them for hole-carding and partial hole-carding. (Partial HC means you know it's one of a few cards, but don't know which.)
    "Croyez ceux qui cherchent la vérité, doutez de ceux qui la trouvent." --André Gide

  3. #3


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    especially against an Ax?” can you clarify your question? What is exactly this “Ax”?

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    TY for the answer, gonna buy CVData and play a bit with it.

    And regarding Ax, I meant an ace with a random other card (at least thats the way it is/was described in poker back in the day).

  5. #5


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    Quote Originally Posted by MrBrightside View Post
    TY for the answer, gonna buy CVData and play a bit with it.

    And regarding Ax, I meant an ace with a random other card (at least thats the way it is/was described in poker back in the day).
    I thought about this Wizard table again and found a problem here. If the dealer's hand is accidently exposed, the player should have a lot of hands to be able to surrender at least, but this surrender decision is not considered by the Wizard.

    Also, it seems it is useless to find the exact EV numbers for a particular hand. All we care about is if this hand has a positive EV. Attached I list the positive EV hands when the dealer has small card values. This table will be useful when the dealer offers pulling out your hand totally in some situations.

    When the dealer has large hand values, I hope Norm can post these numbers. However, it seems it should be very easy to estimate when to surrender. For a dealer A+x hand, you can mostly treat it as a 1+x hard hand. Attachment 4614Capture2.JPG
    Last edited by aceside; 09-08-2021 at 05:20 PM.

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    Nobody responded to this question but I received two unhelpful. This is weird.

  7. #7


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    Quote Originally Posted by aceside View Post
    Nobody responded to this question but I received two unhelpful. This is weird.
    You should consider use of the regaled BSST. Faster and more accurate decision making and question asking is easily achievable through increased blood flow through neural pathways thus resulting in generation 5 decision making speed.

  8. #8


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    Quote Originally Posted by Freightman View Post
    You should consider use of the regaled BSST. Faster and more accurate decision making and question asking is easily achievable through increased blood flow through neural pathways thus resulting in generation 5 decision making speed.
    You mentioned “blood flow through neural pathways,” and I agree with you especially on this part. It takes many many hours of practice to grasp card counting. It’s for the gifted few for sure.

  9. #9


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    Quote Originally Posted by aceside View Post
    You mentioned “blood flow through neural pathways,” and I agree with you especially on this part. It takes many many hours of practice to grasp card counting. It’s for the gifted few for sure.
    More properly described as in increased blood flow through arterial networks increasing blood oxygen content thus resulting in increased electrical stimulus through neural pathways. You can commence on this journey of excellence through rigid digital practice and scenting technique creating an increased arterial diameter.

  10. #10


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    The reason I wanted to know the EV was actually to know if surrenderEV (-50%) was better than the best EV decision (could still be negative EV therefore) from the chart. So you were ahead of me there.
    TBH my neural blood flow is not existent, because I cant make sense of your chart. The only thing I can think of is that you mean pulling out totally is that you receive your complete bet (and these are the positive EV situations)? Is this even a rule somewhere?

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