I made another attempt at this because I didn't vary some of the data by up card as it should have been. I also tried to address a starting shoe comp of {0,0,0,0,0,11,0,5,0,0} where 4 hands of split 6s are ready to be played as I originally intended. I hope this is an improvement.
** prob 6 = 7/12, prob 8 = 5/12 **
** prob of first card of 6 = 1 **
Code:
** hand 1 **
EVPair_ppp versus 6: Stand EV = -.5556, Double EV = .1667, Hit EV = .0833
EVPair_ppp versus 8: Stand EV = .3333, Double EV = 1.000, Hit EV = .500
Compute EVx_pp(strat)
----------------------------------Up card = 6--------------------------------
Hand Prob Stand Double Hit Best
6-6 7/12*6/11 -.5556 .1667 .08333 .1667
6-8 5/12*7/11 -.7333 -.2667 -.1333 -.1333
EVx_pp -.6364 -.0303 -.015155 .0303
----------------------------------Up card = 8--------------------------------
Hand Prob Stand Double Hit Best
6-6 7/12*5/11 .3333 1.000 .5000 1.000
6-8 5/12*4/11 .0667 .2167 .1083 .2167
EVx_pp .23634 .7152 .35756 .7152
Compute EVn_pp(strat) = (EVx_pp(strat) - 7/12*EVPair_ppp(strat)) / (1 - 7/12)
----------------------------------Up card = 6--------------------------------
EVn_pp(stand) = (-.6364 - 7/12*(-.5556)) / (1 - 7/12) = -.74952
EVn_pp(double) = (-.0303 - 7/12*(.1667)) / (1 - 7/12) = -.3061
EVn_pp(hit) = (-.015155 - 7/12*(.0833)) / (1 - 7/12) = -.151992 (best)
----------------------------------Up card = 8--------------------------------
EVn_pp(stand) = (.23634 - 7/12*(.3333)) / (1 - 7/12) = .100596
EVn_pp(double) = (.7152 - 7/12*(1.000)) / (1 - 7/12) = .31648 (best)
EVn_pp(hit) = (.35756 - 7/12*(.5000) / (1 - 7/12) = .158144
Hand 1 Up Card EV Strategy
6-6 6 .1667 Double
8 1.000 Double
6-8 6 -.151992 Hit
8 .31648 Double
** Hands 2,3,4 **
Hand 2 possible additional removals: pp, pn*2, nn
Hand 3 possible additional removals: ppp, ppn*3, pnn*3, nnn
Hand 4 possible additional removals: pppp, pppn*4, ppnn*6, pnnn*4, nnnn
k_c
Bookmarks