Here you go!
https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...ncy-vs-HiLo-TC
Dog Hand
Here you go!
https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...ncy-vs-HiLo-TC
Dog Hand
I'm curious as to why this would work well for this game. If the count is high, that means that there are many more aces than there are 6's. Why would that lead to significantly more busts? If I were to create a side count for this bet, I would think that counting 10's against 3-6 could work, but at that point you might as well just use a regular count.
Also, the whole point of this thread is that CVData can't simulate side bets that are made after the deal, so simulating your count isn't an easy task. I believe I've found a workaround, but I want to do a little bit more testing with it first.
Trust me. I put in a lot of thoughts on this side bet. The correct counting system should be Ace-6, meaning a lot of deficit of aces at a high true count. You count aces as +1 and sixes as -1, exactly opposite to HiLo. At high TC, you bet on bust bonus; at low TC, you bet more on blackjack. You do not need HiLo for regular blackjack. All you need is the Ace-6. Please help simulate this.
You must be joking. you have zero credibility on this site.
Garbage in, garbage, out.
As is the case with INS bets, side counting aces is helpful in SD and DD games, but virtually worthless on shoe games, as demonstrated by Wong a long time ago. For that reason, as well as the fact you almost never get a count high enough to bet it in a 6 or 8 deck game, your system is useless. Further, Norm stated that his software cannot sim this sidebet because it's placed after the cards are dealt.
If you are that curious, contact Cadtwright, who has written custom BJ sim software that can sim just about anything. I'm sure he'll charge you for it, though.
CVData V6 can handle side bets bet after the dealer card is dealt. I'm having problems with my monitors at the moment (actually last three weeks), but will put up an update later today that includes this bonus definition. Although anyone with V6 can set it up themselves.
"I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse
Hi Dog Hand,
I have carefully learned into your CVData simulation results but found a couple of problems:
#1. In your second chart, your bust rate when the dealer shows an Ace upcard is about 14%. This is way too small. When the dealer has an ace up, she will peek for a blackjack before offering the Bust Bonus bet. This peeking action will bring the bust rate to about 20%. Can you help sim this bust rate as a function of TC again?
#2. In your second chart, your bust rate when the dealer shows a 10 upcard is about 21%. This is small too. When you simmed, did you force the dealer to complete her hands?
Thank you in advance.
Last edited by 21forme; 05-26-2022 at 05:50 AM.
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