I have carefully thought about the insurance index again. For this particular hand situation of 16vsA, there are three possible card combinations: (10, 6)vsA, (7,9)vsA, and (8,8)vsA. The insurance indices for these situations are +3.3, +2.8, and +2.8 respectively. However, there are more (10,6)vsA combinations than the other two. Taking all together, we get the insurance index for this particular situation: 3.3*(8/11)+2.8*(3/11)=+3.2.
I hope this is correct.
Last edited by aceside; 04-07-2021 at 06:39 PM. Reason: Revised probability
So, Playing here at my little casino...in the middle of nowhere...these are my best estimates for my game play so far:
My play varies quite a bit from day to day in terms of spread and units, but my best approximation of my play from my notes is:
Hands played: 1500
Average units bet: 2
Winnings to date:125 units
I think my actual winnings over the house is at about 4% so far.
I've been able to 'wong' in/out of the game pretty easily. I literally sit there and keep counting the cards and jump back in when advantageous.
Table limits are really low here, but this is so much fun.
I've been reading up on shuffle tracking. -not even considering betting off of this right now. but I catch myself watching the shuffle and trying to follow a slug.
Gawd.... this fun.
Thanks to Norm and Don for your advice on here.
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