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Thread: Side bet progressive

  1. #1


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    Question Side bet progressive

    I wanted to calculate the EV for a side bet progressive with no public info .. I am not much for CA and probabilities, though I did pick up a 'Probabilities for the enthusiastic beginner' .. we will see where that goes.

    I can sim fairly well but since CVdata cannot differentiate between just color (for now) I coded and simmed this myself. (6 Spanish decks)

    Assumed a 100% jackpot of $5000. And since this is a 'for one' payout not a 'to one' payout I changed the return formula to p*(EV-1)

    My sim resulted in a HE of 10%. I would be grateful if anyone could check/agree with these numbers ..

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c7ZA...GalaxyGamingLV
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    Last edited by Super Natural; 01-15-2021 at 09:17 PM.

  2. #2


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    Why did you use 10 for 1 instead of 12 for 1 for trips?

    Don

  3. #3


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    Oops .. some shops have a different pay schedule and I was messing around with it.

    Updated. Thanks.
    Last edited by Super Natural; 01-15-2021 at 09:17 PM.

  4. #4


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    For fun, I worked out the actual probabilities for trips and suited pairs. Both of your numbers are close, but neither is exactly correct. So, I would assume your sim gives a reasonable approximation to the right answer, and the longer you would let it run, the closer you would get.

    Don

  5. #5


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    Thanks Don.

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